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In other words, to keep operating at our current level, we need 50 percent more Earth than we've got. | 换句话说， 为了保持现有的运行状况， 我们还需要半个地球。 | en-zh-cn |
In financial terms, this would be like always spending 50 percent more than you earn, going further into debt every year. | Σε οικονομικούς όρους, είναι το ίδιο με το να ξοδεύεις 50% περισσότερα απ' αυτά που κερδίζεις, και να βυθίζεσαι στο χρέος περισσότερο κάθε χρόνο. | en-el |
But of course, you can't borrow natural resources, so we're burning through our capital, or stealing from the future. | Mais bien sûr, on ne peut pas emprunter les ressources naturelles, donc nous consumons notre capital, ou volons notre propre futur. | en-fr-ca |
So when I say full, I mean really full -- well past any margin for error, well past any dispute about methodology. | Jadi saat saya berkata penuh, maksud saya benar-benar penuh -- jauh melebihi toleransi kesalahan, jauh melebihi perdebatan apapun mengenai metodenya. | en-id |
What this means is our economy is unsustainable. | To znači da je naše gospodarstvo neodrživo. | en-hr |
I'm not saying it's not nice or pleasant or that it's bad for polar bears or forests, though it certainly is. | Δεν λέω ότι δεν είναι ωραίο ή ευχάριστο ή ότι είναι κακό για τις πολικές αρκούδες και τα δάση, παρόλο που σίγουρα είναι. | en-el |
What I'm saying is our approach is simply unsustainable. | Ich behaupte, dass unsere Herangehensweise einfach nicht tragbar ist. | en-de |
In other words, thanks to those pesky laws of physics, when things aren't sustainable, they stop. | Med andre ord, takket være de plagsomme fysiske lovene, når ting ikke er bærekraftige, stopper de. | en-nb |
But that's not possible, you might think. | 你可能会认为这不可能。 | en-zh-cn |
We can't stop economic growth. | Ne možemo zaustaviti gospodarski rast. | en-hr |
Because that's what will stop: economic growth. | Por que isso é que irá parar: o crescimento econômico. | en-pt-br |
It will stop because of the end of trade resources. | Ще спре заради края на търговските ресурси. | en-bg |
It will stop because of the growing demand of us on all the resources, all the capacity, all the systems of the Earth, which is now having economic damage. | Es wird aufgrund unserer wachsenden Nachfrage an all den Ressourcen, all der Kapazität, all den Systemen auf der Erde aufhören, die nun wirtschaftlichen Schaden nehmen. | en-de |
When we think about economic growth stopping, we go, "That's not possible," because economic growth is so essential to our society that is is rarely questioned. | Kad razmišljamo o prestanku gospodarskog rasta, kažemo: "To nije moguće." jer gospodarski je rast tako nužan za naše društvo da rijetko sumnjamo u njega. | en-hr |
Although growth has certainly delivered many benefits, it is an idea so essential that we tend not to understand the possibility of it not being around. | Це зростання дає нам чимало корисного, і ця ідея така важлива, що ми, як правило, навіть не розуміємо, що цього може не стати. | en-uk |
Even though it has delivered many benefits, it is based on a crazy idea -- the crazy idea being that we can have infinite growth on a finite planet. | Mesmo que tenha trazido muitos benefícios, ele se baseia em uma ideia louca -- ideia louca esta que é a de termos crescimento infinito em um planeta finito. | en-pt-br |
And I'm here to tell you the emperor has no clothes. | Та сьогодні я тут, щоб сказати, що король голий. | en-uk |
That the crazy idea is just that, it is crazy, and with the Earth full, it's game over. | Da je luda ideja upravo to -- luda je, a budući da je Zemlja puna, ne možemo dalje. | en-hr |
Come on, you're thinking. | "בחייך", אתם חושבים. | en-he |
That's not possible. | หนักอย่างนี้ก็ไม่ไหว | en-th |
Technology is amazing. People are innovative. | Die Technologie ist großartig. Die Leute innovativ. | en-de |
There are so many ways we can improve the way we do things. | Yaptıklarımızı bir çok şekilde iyileştirebiliriz. | en-tr |
We can surely sort this out. | Dit moet oplosbaar zijn. | en-nl |
Well, it's mostly true. | Χμ, περίπου. | en-el |
We are certainly amazing, and we regularly solve complex problems with amazing creativity. | نحن مذهلون بحق، ونحل المشاكل المعقدة بانتظام بإبداعية مذهلة. | en-ar |
So if our problem was to get the human economy down from 150 percent to 100 percent of the Earth's capacity, we could do that. | Jadi jika masalah kita adalah menurunkan ekonomi manusia dari 150 persen menjadi 100 persen dari kapasitas Bumi, kita bisa melakukannya. | en-id |
The problem is we're just warming up this growth engine. | 问题是，我们还处于 给这台增长发动机预热的阶段。 | en-zh-cn |
We plan to take this highly-stressed economy and make it twice as big and then make it four times as big -- not in some distant future, but in less than 40 years, in the life time of most of you. | We zijn van plan deze intensieve economie twee keer zo groot te maken en daarna vier keer zo groot -- niet in een verre toekomst, maar in minder dan 40 jaar. Tijdens het leven van de meesten van jullie. | en-nl |
China plans to be there in just 20 years. | La Chine projette d'y être en 20 ans seulement. | en-fr |
The only problem with this plan is that it's not possible. | Šī plāna vienīgā problēma ir tā, ka tas nav iespējams. | en-lv |
In response, some people argue, but we need growth, we need it to solve poverty. | Som tilsvar, hevder enkelte, at vi trenger vekst, vi må oppheve fattigdommen | en-nb |
We need it to develop technology. | Щоб розвивати технології. | en-uk |
We need it to keep social stability. | Tarvitsemme sitä sosiaalisen tasapainon ylläpitoon. | en-fi |
I find this argument fascinating, as though we can kind of bend the rules of physics to suit our needs. | Дуже цікаві аргументи: наче ми якось можемо змінити закони фізики, щоб вони співпадали з нашими потребами. | en-uk |
It's like the Earth doesn't care what we need. | Земля не питает никакого интереса к нашим потребностям. | en-ru |
Mother nature doesn't negotiate; she just sets rules and describes consequences. | Majka priroda ne pregovara. Ona samo određuje pravila i opisuje posljedice. | en-hr |
And these are not esoteric limits. | 導かれる限界は難解なものではありません | en-ja |
This is about food and water, soil and climate, the basic practical and economic foundations of our lives. | Este vorba despre mâncare şi apă, sol şi climate, temelia practică şi economică a vieţilor noastre. | en-ro |
So the idea that we can smoothly transition to a highly-efficient, solar-powered, knowledge-based economy transformed by science and technology so that nine billion people can live in 2050 a life of abundance and digital downloads is a delusion. | Tātad, iedoma, ka mēs varam mierīgi pāriet uz augsti efektīvu saules enerģijas nodrošinātu un uz zināšanām balstītu ekonomiku, zinātnes un tehnoloģijas pārveidotu, tā, lai 9 miljardi cilvēku varētu dzīvot 2050. gadā pārpilnības un ciparu lejupielāžu dzīvi ir maldināšana. | en-lv |
It's not that it's not possible to feed, clothe and house us all and have us live decent lives. | Ei niinkään, etteikö olisi mahdollista ruokkia, vaatettaa ja asuttaa meidät kaikki siten, että meillä olisi hyvä elämä. | en-fi |
It certainly is. | Certamente que é. | en-pt |
But the idea that we can gently grow there with a few minor hiccups is just wrong, and it's dangerously wrong, because it means we're not getting ready for what's really going to happen. | Taču doma, ka mēs līdz tam varam vienmērīgi izaugt ar dažām mazām aizķeršanām ir pilnīgi nepareiza un tas ir bīstami nepareizi, jo tas nozīmē, ka mēs negatavojamies tam, kas patiešām notiks. | en-lv |
See what happens when you operate a system past its limits and then keep on going at an ever-accelerating rate is that the system stops working and breaks down. | Kun järjestelmää käytetään sen rajojen yli, ja yhä edelleen kiihtyvällä tahdilla, järjestelmä lopettaa toimimasta ja romahtaa. | en-fi |
And that's what will happen to us. | Dat is wat met ons zal gebeuren. | en-nl |
Many of you will be thinking, but surely we can still stop this. | Daudzi no jums domās, bet mēs noteikti to vēl varam apturēt. | en-lv |
If it's that bad, we'll react. | Ако е чак толкова лошо, ние ще реагираме. | en-bg |
Let's just think through that idea. | Обміркуймо цю ідею. | en-uk |
Now we've had 50 years of warnings. | Вече сме имали 50 години на предупреждения. | en-bg |
We've had science proving the urgency of change. | Имали сме наука, доказваща спешната необходимост от промяна. | en-bg |
We've had economic analysis pointing out that, not only can we afford it, it's cheaper to act early. | Ada analisis ekonomi yang menunjukkan bahwa bukan saja kita mampu, tapi juga lebih murah untuk bertindak di awal. | en-id |
And yet, the reality is we've done pretty much nothing to change course. | Malgré cela, le fait est que nous n'avons presque rien fait pour changer le cours des choses. | en-fr-ca |
We're not even slowing down. | Yavaşlamıyoruz bile. | en-tr |
Last year on climate, for example, we had the highest global emissions ever. | Πέρσι για παράδειγμα. είχαμε τις υψηλότερες στα χρονικά παγκόσμιες εκπομπές CO2. | en-el |
The story on food, on water, on soil, on climate is all much the same. | قصة الغذاء والماء والتربة والمناخ هي نفسها تماما. | en-ar |
I actually don't say this in despair. | Δεν το λέω αυτό με απελπιστικό τόνο. | en-el |
I've done my grieving about the loss. | Eu am jelit deja pierderea. | en-ro |
I accept where we are. | Prihvaćam situaciju u kojoj smo. | en-hr |
It is sad, but it is what it is. | È triste, ma è così. | en-it |
But it is also time that we ended our denial and recognized that we're not acting, we're not close to acting and we're not going to act until this crisis hits the economy. | 然而，我们现在 不能再逃避， 而应认识到 我们并没有采取行动，甚至没有打算采取行动。 事实上，在经济危机来临之前， 我们也不会采取任何行动。 | en-zh-cn |
And that's why the end of growth is the central issue and the event that we need to get ready for. | Ja siksi kasvun loppuminen on keskeinen asia ja tapahtuma, johon meidän tulee valmistautua. | en-fi |
So when does this transition begin? | ¿Cuándo empieza la transición? | en-es |
When does this breakdown begin? | Wann beginnt der Zusammenbruch? | en-de |
In my view, it is well underway. | Sądzę, że to już się dzieje. | en-pl |
I know most people don't see it that way. | 我知道多數人不這麼認為 | en-zh-tw |
We tend to look at the world, not as the integrated system that it is, but as a series of individual issues. | نميل إلى النظر إلى العالم، ليس كالنظام المتكامل الذي هو عليه، لكن كسلسلة من المشاكل المنفردة. | en-ar |
We see the Occupy protests, we see spiraling debt crises, we see growing inequality, we see money's influence on politics, we see resource constraint, food and oil prices. | אנחנו רואים את מחאות ה"אוקיופיי", אנו רואים משברי חוב מידרדרים, אנחנו רואים עליה באי-שוויון, אנו רואים את השפעת הכסף על הפוליטיקה, אנו רואים אילוץ משאבים, מזון ומחירי הנפט. | en-he |
But we see, mistakenly, each of these issues as individual problems to be solved. | Taču mēs kļūdaini redzam katru no šīm lietām kā atsevišķu problēmu, kura jāatrisina. | en-lv |
In fact, it's the system in the painful process of breaking down -- our system, of debt-fueled economic growth, of ineffective democracy, of overloading planet Earth, is eating itself alive. | في الواقع، إنه النظام في سيره المؤلم نحو الانهيار -- نظامنا، للنمو الإقتصادي الذي تغذيه الديون، للديموقراطية عديمة الفاعلية، للحمولة الزائدة على الأرض، نظام يأكل نفسه حيا. | en-ar |
I could give you countless studies and evidence to prove this, but I won't because, if you want to see it, that evidence is all around you. | أستطيع إعطائكم ما لا يعد من الدراسات والأدلة لإثبات هذا، لكنني لن أفعل لأنه إن أردتم أن تروا ذلك، فإن الأدلة كلها حولكم. | en-ar |
I want to talk to you about fear. | Es vēlos ar jums runāt par bailēm. | en-lv |
I want to do so because, in my view, the most important issue we face is how we respond to this question. | Jeg vil gjøre det fordi, etter mitt syn, er den viktigste saken vi står foran, måten vi responderer på over dette spørsmålet. | en-nb |
The crisis is now inevitable. | 위기는 이제 불가피합니다. | en-ko |
This issue is, how will we react? | Esta questão é, como iremos reagir? | en-pt |
Of course, we can't know what will happen. | Oczywiście nie wiemy co nastąpi. | en-pl |
The future is inherently uncertain. | Il futuro è di per sé incerto. | en-it |
But let's just think through what the science is telling us is likely to happen. | Αλλά ας σκεφτούμε τι μας λέει η επιστήμη ότι είναι πιο πιθανό να συμβεί. | en-el |
Imagine our economy when the carbon bubble bursts, when the financial markets recognize that, to have any hope of preventing the climate spiraling out of control, the oil and coal industries are finished. | Stellen Sie sich unsere Wirtschaft vor, wenn die CO2-Blase platzt, wenn die Finanzmärkte erkennen, dass, wenn wir die Klimakrise auch nur im Ansatz unter Kontrolle halten wollen, die Öl- und Kohleindustrie vorbei sind. | en-de |
Imagine China, India and Pakistan going to war as climate impacts generate conflict over food and water. | Képzeljék el Kínát, Indiát és Pakisztánt háborúba menni emiatt víz és élelmiszer konfliktusokat generálva ezzel. | en-hu |
Imagine the Middle East without oil income, but with collapsing governments. | Imaginem o Médio Oriente sem os rendimentos do petróleo, mas com governos em colapso. | en-pt |
Imagine our highly-tuned, just-in-time food industry and our highly-stressed agricultural system failing and supermarket shelves emptying. | 고도로 조정된, 적시 공급 체계의 음식 산업과 고도로 스트레스를 가하고 있는 농업체계가 실패해서 수퍼마켓의 선반이 텅빈 모습을 상상해 보십시오. | en-ko |
Imagine 30 percent unemployment in America as the global economy is gripped by fear and uncertainty. | Imaginen un 30% de desempleo en EE.UU. con una economía mundial presa del miedo y la incertidumbre. | en-es |
Now imagine what that means for you, your family, your friends, your personal financial security. | 现在，想象一下，这对于你、 你的家庭、你的朋友、 你个人的财务安全，意味着什么。 | en-zh-cn |
Imagine what it means for your personal security as a heavily armed civilian population gets angrier and angrier about why this was allowed to happen. | Bayangkan artinya bagi keamanan Anda sendiri saat masyarakat sipil bersenjata menjadi semakin marah karena hal ini telah terjadi. | en-id |
Imagine what you'll tell your children when they ask you, "So, in 2012, Mom and Dad, what was it like when you'd had the hottest decade on record for the third decade in a row, when every scientific body in the world was saying you've got a major problem, when the oceans were acidifying, when oil and food prices were s... | تخيلوا ماذا ستخبرون به أطفالكم حين يسألونكم، "حسنا، أبي وأمي، كيف كانت سنة 2012 حين كنتم في أكثر عقد حرارة في التاريخ للسنة الثالثة على التوالي، حين كانت كل هيئة علمية في العالم تقول أنه لدينا مشكلة ضخم،ة حين كانت المحيطات تتحمض، حين كانت أسعار الغذاء والنفط تتزايد فجأة، حين كان هناك ثوار في شوارع لندن ومحتلون في وول س... | en-ar |
When the system was so clearly breaking down, Mom and Dad, what did you do, what were you thinking?" | Quando era evidente che il sistema stava crollando, mamma e papà, cosa avete fatto, cosa pensavate?" | en-it |
So how do you feel when the lights go out on the global economy in your mind, when your assumptions about the future fade away and something very different emerges? | אז איך אתם מרגישים לגבי כיבוי האורות בכלכלה העולמית, בדמיונכם, כאשר ההנחות שהיו לכם לגבי העתיד מתפוגגות ומופיע משהו שונה לגמרי? | en-he |
Just take a moment and take a breath and think, what do you feel at this point? | Il suffit de prendre un moment et de prendre une grande respiration et réfléchissez, que ressentez-vous à ce stade ? | en-fr |
Perhaps denial. | Вероятно отрицание. | en-bg |
Perhaps anger. | Tal vez furia. | en-es |
Maybe fear. | Може би страх. | en-bg |
Of course, we can't know what's going to happen and we have to live with uncertainty. | Bien sûr, nous ne pouvons pas savoir ce qui va se passer et nous devons vivre avec l'incertitude. | en-fr |
But when we think about the kind of possibilities I paint, we should feel a bit of fear. | しかし 私が今描いたように起こり得るシナリオを考えると 我々は恐怖を覚えるべきです | en-ja |
We are in danger, all of us, and we've evolved to respond to danger with fear to motivate a powerful response, to help us bravely face a threat. | Ние сме в опасност, всички ние, и сме еволюирали да отговаряме на опасността със страх, за да мотивираме силен ответ, който да ни помогне смело да се изправим пред заплахата. | en-bg |
But this time it's not a tiger at the cave mouth. | 하지만 이번에는 동굴 입구에서의 호랑이가 아닙니다. | en-ko |
You can't see the danger at your door. | Die Gefahr steht nicht greifbar auf der Schwelle. | en-de |
But if you look, you can see it at the door of your civilization. | Mutta jos katsoo, voi nähdä sivilisaatiomme oven. | en-fi |
That's why we need to feel our response now while the lights are still on, because if we wait until the crisis takes hold, we may panic and hide. | Daarom moeten we onze reactie voelen terwijl de lichten nog branden. Als we wachten tot de crisis zich aandient, zouden we in paniek kunnen raken en ons verstoppen. | en-nl |
If we feel it now and think it through, we will realize we have nothing to fear but fear itself. | Se o sentirmos agora e pensarmos bem, vamos aperceber-nos de que não há nada a temer a não ser o próprio medo. | en-pt |
Yes, things will get ugly, and it will happen soon -- certainly in our lifetime -- but we are more than capable of getting through everything that's coming. | Sí, las cosas irán mal y será pronto -sin duda durante nuestra vida- pero somos más que capaces de sortear las dificultades que vienen. | en-es |
You see, those people that have faith that humans can solve any problem, that technology is limitless, that markets can be a force for good, are in fact right. | Lihatlah orang-orang yang percaya bahwa manusia dapat menyelesaikan masalah apapun bahwa teknologi itu tidak terbatas dan pasar dapat terus tumbuh sebenarnya benar. | en-id |
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