english stringlengths 2 3.06k | non_english stringlengths 1 2.84k | language stringclasses 52 values |
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We're really good at small numbers. | Malá čísla nám opravdu jdou. | en-cs |
One mango, two mangoes, three mangoes, 10,000 mangoes, 100,000 mangoes -- it's still more mangoes you can eat before they rot. | Uma manda, duas mangas, três mangas, 10,000 mangas, 100,000 mangas -- são muito mais mangas do que as que conseguem comer antes de apodrecerem. | en-pt |
So one half, one quarter, one fifth -- we're good at that. | Die Hälfte, ein Viertel, ein Fünftel -- wir sind gut darin. | en-de |
One in a million, one in a billion -- they're both almost never. | 百萬分之一,十億分之一 這些被當作幾乎沒有 | en-zh-tw |
So we have trouble with the risks that aren't very common. | Pra, kemi probleme me rreziqet që nuk janë shumë të zakonshëm. | en-sq |
And what these cognitive biases do is they act as filters between us and reality. | 这些认知偏见所起的作用 就是像过滤器一样隔断我们和现实 | en-zh-cn |
And the result is that feeling and reality get out of whack, they get different. | Et le résultat est que l'impression et la réalité ne collent pas, ils diffèrent. | en-fr |
Now, you either have a feeling -- you feel more secure than you are, there's a false sense of security. | Jetzt haben sie entweder ein Gefühl -- Sie fühlen sich sicherer als sie sind. Da ist ein falsches Empfinden von Sicherheit. Oder andersherum, | en-de |
Or the other way, and that's a false sense of insecurity. | et c'est une fausse impression d'insécurité. | en-fr |
I write a lot about "security theater," which are products that make people feel secure, but don't actually do anything. | 我写了很多关于”安全剧场“的文章 这个概念只起到让人们觉得很安全的作用 除此之外一无是处 | en-zh-cn |
There's no real word for stuff that makes us secure, but doesn't make us feel secure. | Няма конкретна дума за нещо, което да ни прави сигурни, но всъщност не ни кара да се чувстваме сигурни. Може би това е едно от нещата, които ЦРУ трябва да прави за нас. | en-bg |
So back to economics. | 回到經濟學 | en-zh-tw |
If economics, if the market, drives security, and if people make trade-offs based on the feeling of security, then the smart thing for companies to do for the economic incentives is to make people feel secure. | Ak ekonomika, ak trh, poháňa bezpečnosť, a ak ľudia robia kompromisy založené na ich pocitoch bezpečia, potom rozumná vec pre spoločnosti, z ekonomických pohnútok, je dávať ľuďom pocit bezpečia. | en-sk |
And there are two ways to do this. | E existem dois caminhos para chegar a isto. | en-pt-br |
One, you can make people actually secure and hope they notice. | Первый — можно реально защитить людей и надеяться, что они обратят внимание. | en-ru |
Or two, you can make people just feel secure and hope they don't notice. | Alebo druhý, môžete im dodať pocit bezpečia a dúfať, že si to nevšimnú. | en-sk |
So what makes people notice? | E o que fará com que elas percebam? | en-pt-br |
Well, a couple of things: understanding of the security, of the risks, the threats, the countermeasures, how they work. | Няколко неща: разбирането на сигурността, на рисковете, на заплахите, на мерките срещу тях и как те работят. | en-bg |
But if you know stuff, you're more likely to have your feelings match reality. | Но ако имате примери, е по-вероятно да съгласувате чувствата си с реалността. | en-bg |
Enough real-world examples helps. | 很多现实生活中的例子可以帮助理解 | en-zh-cn |
We all know the crime rate in our neighborhood, because we live there, and we get a feeling about it that basically matches reality. | Все мы знаем неблагополучные районы города, потому что мы тут живём, и, в общем, наше чувство опасности совпадает с реальностью. | en-ru |
Security theater is exposed when it's obvious that it's not working properly. | Bezpečnostní divadlo je odhalené, když je zjevné, že nefunguje správně. | en-cs |
OK. So what makes people not notice? | Pekala, insanların farketmemesini ne sağlar? | en-tr |
Well, a poor understanding. | Một sự thiếu hiểu biết. | en-vi |
If you don't understand the risks, you don't understand the costs, you're likely to get the trade-off wrong, and your feeling doesn't match reality. | Eğer riskleri bilmezseniz, neye malolacağını da anlayamazsınız, bu yüzden doğru takası yapamazsınız, ve hisleriniz gerçeklikle eşleşmez. | en-tr |
Not enough examples. | Këtu nuk ka mjaft shembuj. | en-sq |
There's an inherent problem with low-probability events. | هنا مشكلة كامنة احتمالية أحداثها ضئيلة. | en-ar |
If, for example, terrorism almost never happens, it's really hard to judge the efficacy of counter-terrorist measures. | Když se například teroristické útoky stávají zřídka, je opravdu těžké posoudit účinnost protiteroristických opatření. | en-cs |
This is why you keep sacrificing virgins, and why your unicorn defenses are working just great. | Вот почему продолжается охота на ведьм, и вот почему бутафорские меры работают до поры до времени. | en-ru |
There aren't enough examples of failures. | Nie ma wystarczająco dużo przykładów porażek. | en-pl |
Also, feelings that cloud the issues -- the cognitive biases I talked about earlier: fears, folk beliefs -- basically, an inadequate model of reality. | Além disso, as sensações estão ofuscando as questões -- as distorções cognitivas das quais falei anteriormente, medos, crenças populares, basicamente um modelo de realidade inadequado. | en-pt-br |
So let me complicate things. | Permiteți-mi să complic lucrurile. | en-ro |
I have feeling and reality. | Am senzație și realitate. | en-ro |
I want to add a third element. I want to add "model." | ここに第三の要素「モデル」を加えたいと思います | en-ja |
Feeling and model are in our head, reality is the outside world; it doesn't change, it's real. | De gevoelens en het model in ons hoofd, de realiteit in de buitenwereld. Die verandert niet; die is echt. | en-nl |
Feeling is based on our intuition, model is based on reason. | Perasaan berpijak pada intuisi. Model berpijak pada logika. Itulah perbedaan intinya. | en-id |
In a primitive and simple world, there's really no reason for a model, because feeling is close to reality. | In einer primitiven und einfachen Welt, gibt es wirklich kein Grund für ein Modell. Weil das Gefühl der Realität so nah ist, | en-de |
You don't need a model. | 你不需要 | en-zh-cn |
But in a modern and complex world, you need models to understand a lot of the risks we face. | Però en un món modern i complex, els models són necessaris per entendre molts dels riscos als que ens enfrontem. | en-ca |
There's no feeling about germs. | Il n'y a pas d'impression vis à vis des microbes. | en-fr |
You need a model to understand them. | आपको एक नमूने की जरुरत होगी उन्हें समझने के लिए | | en-hi |
This model is an intelligent representation of reality. | 模型可以 清楚地呈現真實 | en-zh-tw |
It's, of course, limited by science, by technology. | È, naturalmente, limitato dalla scienza, dalla tecnologia. | en-it |
We couldn't have a germ theory of disease before we invented the microscope to see them. | We hadden geen bacterie-theorie over ziektes kunnen ontwikkelen voordat we de microscoop uitvonden om ze te kunnen zien. | en-nl |
It's limited by our cognitive biases. | Është i kufizuar nga njëanshmëritë tona konjitive. | en-sq |
But it has the ability to override our feelings. | Но има свойството да надскача чувствата ни. | en-bg |
Where do we get these models? We get them from others. | Darimana bisa kita dapatkan model-model ini ? | en-id |
We get them from religion, from culture, teachers, elders. | 从宗教、文化 老师、长辈那里得到 | en-zh-cn |
A couple years ago, I was in South Africa on safari. | Bir kaç yıl önce Güney Afrika'da safarideydim. | en-tr |
The tracker I was with grew up in Kruger National Park. | Le pisteur avec qui j'étais a grandi dans le parc national Kruger. | en-fr |
He had some very complex models of how to survive. | 他的求生模型非常的複雜 | en-zh-tw |
And it depended on if you were attacked by a lion, leopard, rhino, or elephant -- and when you had to run away, when you couldn't run away, when you had to climb a tree, when you could never climb a tree. | Они предусматривали случаи нападения львов, и леопардов, и носорогов, и слонов, и когда нужно было бежать, а когда — лезть на дерево, и когда лезть нельзя ни в коем случае. Я бы умер там в первый же день, | en-ru |
But he was born there, and he understood how to survive. | por ai qe lindur aty, dhe e kish kuptuar se si të mbijetonte. | en-sq |
I was born in New York City. | Tôi được sinh ra ở New York. | en-vi |
(Laughter) Because we had different models based on our different experiences. | (เสียงหัวเราะ) นั่นเป็นเพราะเราโตมาด้วยแบบจำลองที่ต่างกัน พื้นฐานประสบการณ์ที่ต่างกัน | en-th |
Models can come from the media, from our elected officials ... | نماذج تأتي من الإعلام، من مسؤلين منتخبين. | en-ar |
Think of models of terrorism, child kidnapping, airline safety, car safety. | Pensate ai modelli di terrorismo, di rapimento di bambini, di sicurezza delle linee aeree, di sicurezza delle automobili. | en-it |
Models can come from industry. | I modelli possono venire dall'industria. | en-it |
The two I'm following are surveillance cameras, ID cards, quite a lot of our computer security models come from there. | 我关注的两个是监视器 和身份证 很多计算机安全模型都来自它们 | en-zh-cn |
A lot of models come from science. | Beaucoup de modèles viennent de la science. | en-fr |
Health models are a great example. | I modelli della salute sono un ottimo esempio. | en-it |
Think of cancer, bird flu, swine flu, SARS. | कैंसर, बर्ड फ्लू, स्वीन फ्लू, स.अ.र.स. के बारे में सोचिए | | en-hi |
All of our feelings of security about those diseases come from models given to us, really, by science filtered through the media. | Všetky naše pocity bezpečia o týchto nákazách pochádzajú z modelov, ktoré nám dala, naozaj, veda filtrovaná cez médiá. | en-sk |
So models can change. | Pra modelet mund të ndryshojnë. | en-sq |
Models are not static. | No són estàtics. | en-ca |
As we become more comfortable in our environments, our model can move closer to our feelings. | ככל שאנחנו חשים יותר בנוח בסביבה שלנו, המודלים שלנו יכולים להתקרב לתחושותינו. | en-he |
So an example might be, if you go back 100 years ago, when electricity was first becoming common, there were a lot of fears about it. | Un exemple podria ser el següent: pensen en fa 100 anys, en el moment en què l'electricitat començava a estendre's; hi havia molts temors al voltant d'aquest descobriment. Hi havia gent que tenia por de prémer el timbre | en-ca |
There were people who were afraid to push doorbells, because there was electricity in there, and that was dangerous. | weil sie mit Elektrizität betrieben wurden, und die war gefährlich. Für uns ist Elektrizität einfach banal. | en-de |
For us, we're very facile around electricity. | Wir wechseln Glühbirnen | en-de |
We change light bulbs without even thinking about it. | sem o menor problema. | en-pt-br |
Our model of security around electricity is something we were born into. | 電気にまつわる安全のモデルは 私たちにとっては常識です | en-ja |
It hasn't changed as we were growing up. | ไม่ได้มีการเปลี่ยนแปลงใดๆตลอดช่วงชีวิตเรา | en-th |
And we're good at it. | Și suntem buni la acest model. | en-ro |
Or think of the risks on the Internet across generations -- how your parents approach Internet security, versus how you do, versus how our kids will. | Замислете се също така за рисковете от интернет, разглеждани от различни поколения -- как се отнасят вашите родители към сигурността на интернет, как се отнасяте вие и как ще я възприемат нашите деца. | en-bg |
Models eventually fade into the background. | Trực quan chỉ là một cách nói khác của quen thuộc | en-vi |
"Intuitive" is just another word for familiar. | 직관적이라는 말은 즉 친숙하다는 말이지요. | en-ko |
So as your model is close to reality and it converges with feelings, you often don't even know it's there. | Keď je váš model blízko realite a konverguje s pocitmi, často ani neviete, že je tam. | en-sk |
A nice example of this came from last year and swine flu. | Pěkným příkladem tohoto je loňská prasečí chřipka. | en-cs |
When swine flu first appeared, the initial news caused a lot of overreaction. | Când gripa porcină a apărut prima dată, știrile inițiale au provocat multe reacții exagerate. | en-ro |
Now, it had a name, which made it scarier than the regular flu, even though it was more deadly. | Artık bir ismi de vardı, bu da onu sıradan bir gripten korkutucu kıldı, daha ölümcül olmasına rağmen. | en-tr |
And people thought doctors should be able to deal with it. | และทุกคนคิดว่าทำไมหมอถึงไม่มีวิธีต่อกรกับมัน | en-th |
So there was that feeling of lack of control. | 所以产生了一种失去控制的感觉 | en-zh-cn |
And those two things made the risk more than it was. | 이 두가지 이유로 해서 돼지독감이 실제보다 더 위험한 것처럼 보였죠. | en-ko |
As the novelty wore off and the months went by, there was some amount of tolerance; people got used to it. | 新奇性が薄れ 月日が経ち ある程度 危機感も薄れ 人々は慣れました | en-ja |
There was no new data, but there was less fear. | No hi havia nova informació, però hi havia menys por. | en-ca |
By autumn, people thought the doctors should have solved this already. | Đến mùa thu, mọi người đã nghĩ các bác sĩ chắc đã giải quyết xong. | en-vi |
And there's kind of a bifurcation: people had to choose between fear and acceptance -- actually, fear and indifference -- and they kind of chose suspicion. | Și există un fel de bifurcație -- oamenii au trebuit să aleagă între frică și acceptare -- de fapt frică și indiferență -- și ei au devenit suspicioși. | en-ro |
And when the vaccine appeared last winter, there were a lot of people -- a surprising number -- who refused to get it. | И когда прошлой зимой появилась вакцина, много людей, поразительно много, отказались сделать прививку — | en-ru |
And it's a nice example of how people's feelings of security change, how their model changes, sort of wildly, with no new information, with no new input. | un bell'esempio di come il senso di sicurezza della gente cambia, di come cambiano i loro modelli, quasi selvaggiamente senza alcuna nuova informazione, senza alcun nuovo elemento. | en-it |
This kind of thing happens a lot. | こういったことはしばしば起こります | en-ja |
I'm going to give one more complication. | Voi mai face o complicare în plus. | en-ro |
We have feeling, model, reality. | Kemi pra ndjesitë, modelin, realitetin. | en-sq |
I have a very relativistic view of security. | Ik heb een zeer gerelativeerde visie over veiligheid. | en-nl |
I think it depends on the observer. | मला वाटते ती बघणाऱ्यावर अवलंबून असते. | en-mr |
And most security decisions have a variety of people involved. | E muitas decisões sobre segurança têm uma variedade de pessoas envolvidas. | en-pt-br |
And stakeholders with specific trade-offs will try to influence the decision. | E i venditori di sicurezza con i loro specifici interessi | en-it |
And I call that their agenda. | intentaran influir en la decisió. És el que anomeno la seva agenda. | en-ca |
And you see agenda -- this is marketing, this is politics -- trying to convince you to have one model versus another, trying to convince you to ignore a model and trust your feelings, marginalizing people with models you don't like. | E voi vedete l'agenda; sono il marketing, la politica, che cercano di convincervi ad avere un modello piuttosto che un altro, tentando di convincervi ad ignorare un modello e fidarvi del vostro istinto, emarginando la gente che ha modelli che non vi piacciono. | en-it |
This is not uncommon. | Asta nu este ceva neobişnuit. | en-ro |
An example, a great example, is the risk of smoking. | Un esempio, un grande esempio, è il rischio associato al fumo. | en-it |
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