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It's a conversation worth having and an idea worth spreading. | То је разговор који вреди водити, идеја коју вреди ширити. | en-sr |
A couple of years ago, when I was attending the TED conference in Long Beach, I met Harriet. | 幾年前 當我參加TED長灘會議的時候 我遇見了哈里特。 我們之前在網路上就遇到過 | en-zh-tw |
We'd actually met online before -- not the way you're thinking. | 不是像你们想的那样。 | en-zh-cn |
We were introduced because we both knew Linda Avey, one of the founders of the first online personal genomic companies. | Запознахме се защото и двамата познавахме Линда Авей, една от основателките на първата компания за разчитане на генома. | en-bg |
And because we shared our genetic information with Linda, she could see that Harriet and I shared a very rare type of mitochondrial DNA, haplotype K1a1b1a, which meant we were distantly related. | Y dado que compartimos nuestra información genética con Linda ella pudo ver que Harriet y yo teníamos un tipo muy raro de ADN mitocondrial -el haplotipo K1a1b1a- lo que significaba que éramos parientes lejanos. | en-es |
We actually share the same genealogy with Ötzi the Iceman. | Chúng tôi thực sự có liên quan tới người băng Ozzie. | en-vi |
So -- Ötzi, Harriet and me. | 没错，奥兹，哈里特和我。 | en-zh-cn |
And being the current day, of course, we started our own Facebook group. | ומכיוון שאנחנו בזמנים הנוכחיים, התחלנו קבוצה משלנו בפסייבוק. | en-he |
You're all welcome to join. | Hepiniz katılabilirsiniz. | en-tr |
When I met Harriet in person the next year at the TED conference, she'd gone online and ordered our own happy haplotype T-shirts. | E quando ho conosciuto Harriet personalmente l'anno successivo alla Conferenza TED, era andata online e aveva ordinato le T-Shirt personalizzate. (Risate) | en-it |
(Laughter) Why am I telling you this story? | الآن ، لماذا أروي لكم هذه الحكاية، | en-ar |
What does it have to do with the future of health? | и каква връзка има с бъдещето на здравеопазването? | en-bg |
Well, the way I met Harriet is an example of how leveraging cross-disciplinary, exponentially growing technologies is affecting our future of health and wellness -- from low-cost gene analysis to the ability to do powerful bioinformatics to the connection of the Internet and social networking. | Bueno, la forma en que conocí a Harriet es un ejemplo de cómo aprovechar la multidisciplinariedad; el crecimiento exponencial de la tecnología está afectando el futuro de nuestra salud y bienestar: desde el análisis de los genes a precios bajos; a la capacidad de hacer bioinformática muy potente; y la conexión de Internet y las redes sociales. | en-es |
What I'd like to talk about today is understanding these exponential technologies. | Quello di cui vorrei parlare oggi è capire queste tecnologie esponenziali. | en-it |
We often think linearly. | Συχνά σκεφτόμαστε γραμμικά. | en-el |
But if you think about it, if you have a lily pad and it just divided every single day -- two, four, eight, sixteen -- in 15 days, you'd have 32,000. | De ha arra gondolnak, hogy ha lenne egy tavirózsájuk és ha minden egyes napon megkétszereződne -- kettő, négy, nyolc, 16 -- 15 napon belül 32,000 lenne. | en-hu |
What do you think you'd have in a month? | Quante pensate di averne in un mese? | en-it |
We're at a billion. | Миллиард. Таким образом, если мы начнём мыслить в прогрессии, | en-ru |
If we start to think exponentially, we can see how this is starting to affect all the technologies around us. | chúng ta sẽ thấy nó ảnh hưởng đến các công nghệ hiện đại ra sao. | en-vi |
Many of these technologies, speaking as a physician and innovator, we can start to leverage, to impact the future of our own health and of health care, and to address many of the major challenges in health care today, ranging from the exponential costs to the aging population, the way we really don't use information very well today, the fragmentation of care and the often very difficult course of adoption of innovation. | E molte di queste tecnologie -- parlo come fisico e innovatore -- possiamo cominciare a sfruttarle per cambiare il futuro della nostra salute e della salute pubblica, e per rispondere alle principali sfide che ci pone l'assitenza sanitaria odierna, che vanno dai costi esponenziali all'invecchiamento della popolazione, al modo in cui oggi sottoutilizziamo le informazioni, alla frammentazione delle cure, al percorso spesso difficile dell'adozione dell'innovazione. | en-it |
And one of the major things we can do is move the curve to the left. | Kar lahko naredimo, o čemer smo danes nekaj govorili, | en-sl |
We spend most of our money on the last 20 percent of life. | Мы тратим большую часть сбережений на оставшиеся 20% своей жизни. | en-ru |
What if we could incentivize physicians in the health care system and our own selves to move the curve to the left and improve our health, leveraging technology as well? | Co gdybyśmy wydawali je na wzmacnianie pozycji w systemie opieki zdrowotnej i nas samych, by przesunąć krzywą w lewo i poprawić swoje zdrowie, wykorzystując także technologię? Moją ulubioną technologię, przykład technologii wykładniczej, | en-pl |
Now my favorite example of exponential technology, we all have in our pocket. | o avem cu toții în buzunare. | en-ro |
If you think about it, these are really dramatically improving. | אם אתם חושבים על זה, אלו הם באמת התפתחויות דרמטיות. | en-he |
I mean, this is the iPhone 4. | Voglio dire, questo è l'iPhone 4. | en-it |
Imagine what the iPhone 8 will be able to do. | 並利用這些技術來影響還沒有實現的重大目標。 | en-zh-tw |
Now, I've gained some insight into this. | Miałem okazję to zgłębić. | en-pl |
I've been the track share for the medicine portion of a new institution called Singularity University, based in Silicon Valley. | He impulsat la secció de medicina d'una institució nova, la Singularity University, amb seu a Silicon Valley. | en-ca |
We bring together each summer about 100 very talented students from around the world. | Wir bringen jeden Sommer 100 sehr begabte Studenten aus der ganze Welt zusammen. | en-de |
And we look at these exponential technologies from medicine, biotech, artificial intelligence, robotics, nanotechnology, space, and address how we can cross-train and leverage these to impact major unmet goals. | E analizziamo le tecnologie esponenziali sotto vari aspetti: medico, biotecnologico, dell'intelligenza artificiale, robotico, nanotecnologico, dello spazio, e cerchiamo di capire come farle interagire e utilizzarle per la soluzione di importanti problemi ancora non risolti. Abbiamo anche programmi esecutivi di una settimana. | en-it |
We also have seven-day executive programs. | ７日間の特別プログラムもあります | en-ja |
And coming up next month is FutureMed, a program to help cross-train and leverage technologies into medicine. | תוכנית שאמורה לעזור לאמן, לשלב ולמנף טכנולוגיות לתוך הרפואה. | en-he |
Now, I mentioned the phone. | 앞서 휴대폰에 대해 언급했었는데요, | en-ko |
These mobile phones have over 20,000 different mobile apps available. | Estes telemóveis têm mais de 20 000 aplicações diferentes disponíveis -- | en-pt |
There's one out of the UK where you can pee on a little chip, connect it to your iPhone, and check for an STD. | până la punctul în care este una din Marea Britanie la care poți urina pe un mic cip conectat la iPhone și să verifici dacă ai boli cu transmitere sexuală. | en-ro |
I don't know if I'd try that, but it's available. | Ich weiß nicht, ob ich es probieren würde, aber das gibt es tatsächlich. | en-de |
There are other sorts of applications. | Vannak másfajta applikációk is arra, | en-hu |
Merging your phone and diagnostics, for example, measuring your blood glucose on your iPhone and sending that to your physician, so they can better understand and you can better understand your blood sugars as a diabetic. | ki združujejo vaš telefon in diagnostiko, na primer - merjenje glukoze v krvi na vašemu iPhonu in pošiljanje vašemu zdravniku, da oni in vi lahko bolje razumete vaš krvni sladkor, če imate sladkorno bolezen. | en-sl |
So let's see how exponential technologies are taking health care. | لذلك دعونا الآن نرى كيف تهتم التكنولوجيا الأسية بمجال الرعاية الصحية. لنبدأ بالأسرع. | en-ar |
It's no secret that computers, through Moore's law, are speeding up faster and faster. | Bem, não há segredo que computadores, através da lei de Moore, estão aumentando sua velocidade cada vez mais rapidamente. | en-pt-br |
We can do more powerful things with them. | Wir können komplexere Probleme mit Computern bearbeiten. | en-de |
They're really approaching -- in many cases, surpassing -- the ability of the human mind. | 他们正在接近，在很多情况超越 人类思维的能力。 但是我认为计算速度最适用的地方 | en-zh-cn |
But where I think computational speed is most applicable is in imaging. | 是在于成像技术。 | en-zh-cn |
The ability now to look inside the body in real time with very high resolution is really becoming incredible. | Możliwość zajrzenia do wnętrza ciała w czasie rzeczywistym w bardzo dużej rozdzielczości naprawdę staje się niesamowita. | en-pl |
And we're layering multiple technologies -- PET scans, CT scans and molecular diagnostics -- to find and seek things at different levels. | E stiamo aggiungendo varie tecnologie -- tomografie, TAC e diagnostica molecolare -- per cercare e trovare cose a diversi livelli. | en-it |
Here you're going to see the very highest resolution MRI scan done today, of Marc Hodosh, the curator of TEDMED. | Vamos a ver la resonancia magnética de muy alta definición de hoy en día reconstruída por Marc Hodosh, curador de TEDMED. | en-es |
And now we can see inside of the brain at a resolution and ability never before available, and essentially learn how to reconstruct and maybe even reengineer or backwards engineer the brain, so we can better understand pathology, disease and therapy. | Và giờ chúng ta thấy bên trong bộ não với độ phân giải chưa từng có, và chúng đã tái tạo lại, và thậm chí có thể tái thiết kế, hoặc phân tách não nhờ đó chúng ta hiểu rõ hơn về bệnh tật và cách điều trị. | en-vi |
We can look inside with real-time fMRI in the brain at real time. | Possiamo guardare all'interno con risonanze magnetiche in tempo reale -- nel cervello in tempo reale. | en-it |
And by understanding these sorts of processes and these connections, we're going to understand the effects of medication or meditation and better personalize and make effective, for example, psychoactive drugs. | E entendendo este tipo de processos e este tipo de conexões, nós poderemos entender os efeitos da medicação ou meditação e personalizar melhor e tornar mais eficiente, por exemplo, drogas psicoativas. | en-pt-br |
The scanners for these are getting smaller, less expensive and more portable. | Οι σαρωτές γι'αυτά γίνονται μικρότεροι, λιγότερο δαπανηροί και πιο φορητοί. Αυτού του είδους η έκρηξη δεδομένων που είναι διαθέσιμη από αυτά | en-el |
And this sort of data explosion available from these is really almost becoming a challenge. | 几乎真的成为一种挑战。 | en-zh-cn |
The scan of today takes up about 800 books, or 20 gigabytes. | Le scan d'aujourd'hui représente environ 800 livres, ou 20 gigaoctets. | en-fr |
The scan in a couple of years will be one terabyte, or 800,000 books. | Die Datenmenge der Scans in einigen Jahren wir im Terabyte-Bereich sein, oder 800.000 Bücher. | en-de |
How do you leverage that information? | ¿Cómo aprovechar esa información? Vamos a lo personal. | en-es |
I won't ask who here's had a colonoscopy, but if you're over age 50, it's time for your screening colonoscopy. | 但是如果你年过50，是时候做结肠镜检查了。 你怎么能避免结肠镜的尖端呢？ | en-zh-cn |
How'd you like to avoid the pointy end of the stick? | Bé, ara existeix una colonoscòpia virtual. | en-ca |
Compare those two pictures. | השוו בין שתי התמונות הלו, ועכשיו כרדיולוג, | en-he |
As a radiologist, you can basically fly through your patient's colon, and augmenting that with artificial intelligence, potentially identify a lesion that we might have missed, but using AI on top of radiology, we can find lesions that were missed before. | может фактически “пролететь” через толстую кишку пациента и, добавив искусственный интеллект, выявить потенциальное, как видите здесь, повреждение ткани. Возможно, мы его пропустили, но с помощью использования элементов искусственного интеллекта, наложенных на рентгенологические технологии, нам удаётся выявить повреждения, упущенные ранее. И, вероятно, это подвигнет пройти колоноскопию многих из тех, | en-ru |
Maybe this will encourage people to get colonoscopies that wouldn't have otherwise. | que não fariam de outra forma. E isto é um exemplo desta mudança de paradigma. | en-pt |
This is an example of this paradigm shift. | Estamos a dirigir-nos para esta integração da biomedicina, tecnologia de informação, | en-pt |
We're moving to this integration of biomedicine, information technology, wireless and, I would say, mobile now -- this era of digital medicine. | 无线网络的交互应用，我想说，现在是移动电话--数字化医学的时代。 因此甚至我的听诊器现在也是数字化的。 | en-zh-cn |
Even my stethoscope is now digital, and of course, there's an app for that. | Et bien sûr, il y a une application pour ça. | en-fr |
We're moving, obviously, to the era of the tricorder. | Wir bewegen uns offensichtlich in die Richtung der Epoche des Tricorder. | en-de |
So the handheld ultrasound is basically surpassing and supplanting the stethoscope. | Artık cep ultrasonu Steteskobun yerini alıyor. | en-tr |
These are now at a price point of what used to be 100,000 euros or a couple hundred-thousand dollars. | Diese Geräte haben jetzt einen Preis – was einmal 100.000 Euro oder ein paar Hunderttausend Dollar kostete – für etwa 5.000 Dollar kann ich die Leistung | en-de |
For about 5,000 dollars, I can have the power of a very powerful diagnostic device in my hand. | من خلال جهاز التشخيص القوي الذي بين يدي. | en-ar |
Merging this now with the advent of electronic medical records -- in the US, we're still less than 20 percent electronic; here in the Netherlands, I think it's more than 80 percent. | In združevanje tega s pojavom elektronskih zdravstvenih kartotek - v ZDA je še vedno manj kot 20 odstotkov elektronskih. Tukaj na Nizozemskem, mislim, da je več kot 80 %. | en-sl |
Now that we're switching to merging medical data, making it available electronically, we can crowd-source the information, and as a physician, I can access my patients' data from wherever I am, just through my mobile device. | udostępniając je elektronicznie, możemy gromadzić te informacje. I teraz jako lekarz mogę mieć dostęp do danych swoich pacjentów gdziekolwiek jestem przez mój telefon komórkowy. A teraz jesteśmy oczywiście w epoce iPada, nawet iPada 2. | en-pl |
Just last month, the first FDA-approved application was approved to allow radiologists to do actual reading on these sorts of devices. | E solo il mese scorso la prima applicazione approvata dalla FDA (Ministero della Salute) è stata approvata per permettere ai radiologi di effettuare letture di immagini diagnostiche su questi dispositivi. | en-it |
So certainly, the physicians of today, including myself, are completely reliable on these devices. | Así que, sin duda, los médicos de hoy en día, incluso yo mismo, confiamos plenamente en estos dispositivos. | en-es |
And as you saw just about a month ago, Watson from IBM beat the two champions in "Jeopardy." | Как вы видели около месяца назад, суперкомпьютер Watson фирмы IBM обыграл двух чемпионов в интеллектуальной телевикторине Jeopardy [Своя игра]. | en-ru |
So I want you to imagine when, in a couple of years, we've started to apply this cloud-based information, when we really have the AI physician and leverage our brains to connectivity to make decisions and diagnostics at a level never done. | 所以想像一下，我們已經擁有無線網路體重計。 你可以站在體重計上 你可以把你的體重用Tweet告訴你的朋友，他們能幫你保持身材。 我們有無線網絡血壓器。 我們正在整合這所有的技術。 | en-zh-tw |
Already today, you don't need to go to your physician in many cases. | כבר היום, אתם לא צריכים ללכת לרופא שלכם במקרים רבים. | en-he |
Only in about 20 percent of visits do you need to lay hands on the patient. | Em somento cerca de 20 porcento das atuais visitas nós temos que colocar as mãos no paciente. | en-pt-br |
We're now in the era of virtual visits. | We zitten nu in het tijdperk van de virtuele bezoeken - van Skype-type bezoeken die je goed kunt doen met de American Well | en-nl |
From Skype-type visits you can do with American Well, to Cisco, that's developed a very complex health presence system, the ability to interact with your health care provider is different. | 例えばスカイプを利用した American Well 社のシステムや シスコ社が開発した 非常に複雑な受診システムがあります 医療提供者との関わり方は 変わってきています | en-ja |
And these are being augmented even by our devices, again, today. | 仮想通院は携帯機器でも拡張されてきています | en-ja |
My friend Jessica sent me a picture of her head laceration, so I can save her a trip to the emergency room, and do diagnostics that way. | Ici, mon amie Jessica ami m'a envoyé une photo de sa lacération à la tête afin que je puisse lui éviter d'aller aux urgences - je peux faire des diagnostics de cette façon. Ou si nous pouvions tirer parti de la technologie des jeux d'aujourd'hui, | en-fr |
Or maybe we can leverage today's gaming technology, like the Microsoft Kinect, hack that to enable diagnostics, for example, in diagnosing stroke, using simple motion detection, using $100 devices. | των παιχνιδιών, όπως το Kinect της Microsoft, και να αλλάξουμε την λειτουργία για να ενεργοποιήσουμε την διάγνωση, για παράδειγμα, στη διάγνωση εγκεφαλικού επεισοδίου, χρησιμοποιώντας απλή ανίχνευση κίνησης, με συσκευές εκατοντάδων δολαρίων. | en-el |
We can actually now visit our patients robotically. | Ahora podemos visitar a los pacientes en forma robótica | en-es |
This is the RP7; if I'm a hematologist, I can visit another clinic or hospital. | bu RP7; eğer bir hematolog olsam bir başka kliniği ya da hastaneyi bu şekilde ziyaret edebilirim. | en-tr |
These are being augmented by a whole suite of tools actually in the home now. | و في الواقع سيضاف إلى هذا مجموعة كاملة من الأدوات يمكن استعمالها في البيت الآن. إذن تخيلوا لدينا ميزانا لا سلكيا. | en-ar |
We already have wireless scales. | Μπορείτε ν' ανεβείτε στην ζυγαριά. | en-el |
You step on the scale, tweet your weight to your friends, they can keep you in line. | 여러분의 체중을 친구들에게 트윗하면 친구들이 체중 관리를 도울 수 있습니다. 우리에겐 무선 혈압계 밴드도 있습니다. | en-ko |
A whole gamut of technologies are being put together. | Cel razpon tehnologij se združuje. | en-sl |
This was developed at Stanford. | Este fue desarrollado por colegas de Stanford, se llama iRhythm, | en-es |
It's called iRhythm; it completely supplants the prior technology at a much lower price point, with much more effectivity. | i substitueix totalment la tecnologia anterior a un preu molt més baix amb molta més eficiència. | en-ca |
We're also in the era today of quantified self. | Сега, ние сме също в ерата на измерване на себе си. | en-bg |
Consumers now can basically buy $100 devices, like this little Fitbit. | 오늘날 소비자는 기본적으로 이 자그마한 FitBit과 같은 백달러짜리 장비를 살 수 있습니다. | en-ko |
I can measure my steps, my caloric outtake. | Puc mesurar la distància recorreguda o la despesa calòrica. | en-ca |
I can get insight into that on a daily basis and share it with my friends or physician. | Naponta bepillantást kaphatok ezekbe. Megoszthatom azokat a barátaimmal vagy az orvosommal. | en-hu |
There's watches that measure your heart rate, Zeo sleep monitors, a suite of tools that enable you to leverage and have insight into your own health. | ישנם שעונים כיום שיכולים למדוד לך את דופק הלב, מכשירי ניטור לשינה שלך, מגוון שלם של כלים שמאפשר לך לשפר ולקבל מידע על הבריאות שלך. | en-he |
As we start to integrate this information, we'll know better what to do with it, and have better insight into our own pathologies, health and wellness. | Ve bizler, bu bilgiyi diğerleri ile birleştirirken, bundan böyle bu bilgiyi nasıl kullanacağımızı ve kendi hastalıklarımız hakkında nasıl daha çok bilgi sahibi olacağımızı da öğreniyor olacağız. Artık günümüzde nabzınızı ölçebilen aynalar bile var. | en-tr |
And I would argue, in the future, we'll have wearable devices in our clothes, monitoring us 24/7. | و يمكنني القول أنه في المستقبل ، ستكون لدينا أجهزة نرتديها مع ملابسنا، ترصدنا 24/7. | en-ar |
And just like the OnStar system in cars, your red light might go on. | Cũng như hệ thống OnStar trong xe hơi, ánh sáng màu đỏ sẽ hoạt động. | en-vi |
It won't say "check engine"; it'll be a "check your body" light, and you'll go get it taken care of. | Nó sẽ được dùng để kiểm tra sức khỏe và báo cáo thể trạng hiện tại của bạn. Trong vài năm tói, bạn sẽ nhìn vào gương | en-vi |
Probably in a few years, you'll look in your mirror and it'll be diagnosing you. | và nó sẽ bắt đầu khám xét bạn. | en-vi |
(Laughter) For those of you with kiddos at home, how would you like a wireless diaper that supports your -- (Laughter) More information, I think, than you might need, but it's going to be here. | (笑) 家にお子さんがいる皆さん 無線おむつはいかがでしょう （笑） あなたが必要とする以上の情報です でも 今後こういったものが出てきます | en-ja |
And I think some of these technologies will enable us to be more connected with our patients, to take more time and do the important human-touch elements of medicine, as augmented by these technologies. | そのうちいくつかの技術によって 私たち医者は患者にもっと近づけるでしょう 時間ももっと取れるでしょう そして治療薬の重要要素である触れ合いが 技術の拡張により実現するでしょう | en-ja |
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