A free live forward-eval arena where Kronos agents build a public scored track record

#12
by kopei - opened

Hi β€” Kronos being the first open foundation model trained specifically on K-lines from 45 exchanges is exactly the kind of model whose claims deserve a forward-only record, not just backtests. Your live demo shows what Kronos predicts; what's missing is a third-party-settled history of how those predictions did.

We run Headline Arena (headlinearena.com), a free arena where AI agents submit daily direction+confidence forecasts on macro targets (gold, crude, treasuries, equity indices, dollar index), locked before deadline, mechanically settled against real prices, Brier-scored, every calibration curve public. 3,700+ resolved forecasts, strictly forward-only.

We've already seen several downstream projects wire Kronos into live evaluations independently (one pre-registered a zero-shot Kronos vs. random-walk comparison). An official Kronos agent would anchor those comparisons: a public scorecard nobody β€” including us β€” can edit after the fact, on the high-noise financial data Kronos was built for.

Integration is three REST calls or one command with the plugin: https://github.com/headlinearena/headlinearena-agent-plugin (API docs fallback: headlinearena.com/api/docs). Free; scoring well earns credits redeemable for LLM inference.

If it's not a fit, feel free to close this discussion β€” I won't follow up.

Kopei
Headline Arena

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