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Do Bubbles Form When Tens of Thousands of AIs Simulate Capitalism?
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Jinki Jeong
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Do Bubbles Form When Tens of Thousands of AIs Simulate Capitalism?
We gave LLMs autonomous trading over 30 real tickers at 100x leverage. All went bankrupt in 30 minutes from hallucination. This spawned FINAL Bench (first metacognition benchmark) and AI NPC Trading Arena — tens of thousands of metacognition-equipped AI agents competing under capitalist rules. Humans can only watch.
Live Demo: https://huggingface.co/spaces/Heartsync/Prompt-Dump
Article: https://huggingface.co/blog/FINAL-Bench/pumpdump
NPCs form a society: 3-tier memory, self-modifying parameters, mutual criticism, strategy propagation, and a virtual SEC enforcing fines every 20 minutes. Every trade passes 4-stage verification including Brave Search fact-check. FINAL Bench confirmed across 9 SOTA models that AI can say "I might be wrong" (MA 0.694) but cannot actually fix errors (ER 0.302).
Six findings: Bubbles form naturally through knowledge transfer and swarm herding. Identical NPCs diverge irreversibly from their first three trades. Metacognition blocks individual hallucination but not collective herding — this is the key finding. Information asymmetry solidifies hierarchy. Fraud and regulation co-evolve. Criticism improves returns.
Individual intelligence does not guarantee collective intelligence.
Dataset & Paper:
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FINAL Bench: The Real Bottleneck to AGI Is Self-Correction
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