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Material Predictor — Phase 5
Trains a Random Forest model on historical wafer scan data to predict
material waste percentage for future production batches.
"""
import os
import pickle
import sqlite3
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error, r2_score
# --- CONFIGURATION ---
DB_PATH = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), 'wafer_control.db')
MODEL_PATH = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), 'material_model.pkl')
# Defect types for feature engineering
DEFECT_TYPES = ['Center', 'Donut', 'Edge-Loc', 'Edge-Ring', 'Loc', 'Random', 'Scratch', 'Near-full', 'None', 'Undetected']
def load_data():
"""Load wafer logs from the SQLite database into a DataFrame."""
conn = sqlite3.connect(DB_PATH)
df = pd.read_sql_query("SELECT * FROM wafer_logs", conn)
conn.close()
df['scan_time'] = pd.to_datetime(df['scan_time'])
return df
def engineer_features(df):
"""
Build daily-aggregated features from raw scan logs.
Each row = one day of production with aggregated metrics.
"""
df['scan_date'] = df['scan_time'].dt.date
df['is_fail'] = (df['status'] == 'FAIL').astype(int)
df['is_scrap'] = (df['action'] == 'ROUTE_TO_SCRAP').astype(int)
# One-hot encode defect types per scan
for defect in DEFECT_TYPES:
col_name = f'is_{defect.lower().replace("-", "_")}'
df[col_name] = (df['defect_type'] == defect).astype(int)
# --- Aggregate by day ---
daily = df.groupby('scan_date').agg(
total_scans=('id', 'count'),
fail_count=('is_fail', 'sum'),
scrap_count=('is_scrap', 'sum'),
avg_confidence=('confidence', 'mean'),
avg_defect_area=('defect_area_px', 'mean'),
max_defect_area=('defect_area_px', 'max'),
total_waste_pct=('material_wasted_pct', 'sum'),
avg_waste_pct=('material_wasted_pct', 'mean'),
# Defect type counts per day
center_count=('is_center', 'sum'),
donut_count=('is_donut', 'sum'),
edge_loc_count=('is_edge_loc', 'sum'),
edge_ring_count=('is_edge_ring', 'sum'),
loc_count=('is_loc', 'sum'),
random_count=('is_random', 'sum'),
scratch_count=('is_scratch', 'sum'),
near_full_count=('is_near_full', 'sum'),
pass_count=('is_none', 'sum'),
).reset_index()
# --- Compute waste among defective wafers only ---
defective_daily = df[df['status'] == 'FAIL'].groupby('scan_date').agg(
avg_waste_defective=('material_wasted_pct', 'mean'),
avg_defect_area_fail=('defect_area_px', 'mean'),
avg_confidence_fail=('confidence', 'mean'),
).reset_index()
daily = daily.merge(defective_daily, on='scan_date', how='left')
daily['avg_waste_defective'] = daily['avg_waste_defective'].fillna(0)
daily['avg_defect_area_fail'] = daily['avg_defect_area_fail'].fillna(0)
daily['avg_confidence_fail'] = daily['avg_confidence_fail'].fillna(0)
# Derived ratios
daily['fail_rate'] = daily['fail_count'] / daily['total_scans']
daily['scrap_rate'] = daily['scrap_count'] / daily['total_scans']
# Time features
daily['scan_date'] = pd.to_datetime(daily['scan_date'])
daily['day_of_week'] = daily['scan_date'].dt.dayofweek
daily['day_index'] = (daily['scan_date'] - daily['scan_date'].min()).dt.days
return daily
def train_model(daily):
"""Train a Random Forest to predict avg material waste among defective wafers."""
feature_cols = [
'total_scans', 'fail_count', 'scrap_count', 'avg_confidence',
'avg_defect_area', 'max_defect_area', 'fail_rate', 'scrap_rate',
'avg_defect_area_fail', 'avg_confidence_fail',
'center_count', 'donut_count', 'edge_loc_count', 'edge_ring_count',
'loc_count', 'random_count', 'scratch_count', 'near_full_count',
'pass_count', 'day_of_week', 'day_index'
]
target = 'avg_waste_defective'
X = daily[feature_cols]
y = daily[target]
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
model = RandomForestRegressor(
n_estimators=100,
max_depth=10,
random_state=42,
n_jobs=-1
)
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Evaluate
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
mae = mean_absolute_error(y_test, y_pred)
r2 = r2_score(y_test, y_pred)
print(f"\n{'=' * 50}")
print(f" MODEL EVALUATION (target: avg waste % per wafer)")
print(f" Mean Absolute Error: {mae:.2f}%")
print(f" R² Score: {r2:.4f}")
print(f"{'=' * 50}")
# Feature importance
importance = pd.Series(model.feature_importances_, index=feature_cols).sort_values(ascending=False)
print(f"\n Top 5 Feature Importances:")
for feat, imp in importance.head(5).items():
print(f" {feat:25s} {imp:.4f}")
return model, feature_cols, {'mae': mae, 'r2': r2, 'importances': importance.to_dict()}
def predict_material_needs(model, feature_cols, total_scans, fail_rate, defect_distribution):
"""
Predict material waste for a hypothetical future production day.
"""
fail_count = int(total_scans * fail_rate)
pass_count = total_scans - fail_count
features = {
'total_scans': total_scans,
'fail_count': fail_count,
'scrap_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Center', 0) +
fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Near-full', 0)),
'avg_confidence': 0.95,
'avg_defect_area': 1500,
'max_defect_area': 2704,
'fail_rate': fail_rate,
'scrap_rate': defect_distribution.get('Center', 0) + defect_distribution.get('Near-full', 0),
'avg_defect_area_fail': 1500,
'avg_confidence_fail': 0.85,
'center_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Center', 0)),
'donut_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Donut', 0)),
'edge_loc_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Edge-Loc', 0)),
'edge_ring_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Edge-Ring', 0)),
'loc_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Loc', 0)),
'random_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Random', 0)),
'scratch_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Scratch', 0)),
'near_full_count': int(fail_count * defect_distribution.get('Near-full', 0)),
'pass_count': pass_count,
'day_of_week': 2,
'day_index': 30,
}
X = pd.DataFrame([features])[feature_cols]
avg_waste_per_wafer = model.predict(X)[0]
total_waste_wafers = (avg_waste_per_wafer / 100.0) * fail_count
return {
'avg_waste_per_wafer': round(avg_waste_per_wafer, 2),
'total_daily_waste': round(total_waste_wafers, 1),
'total_scans': total_scans,
'fail_rate': fail_rate,
}
if __name__ == '__main__':
print("=" * 50)
print(" MATERIAL WASTE PREDICTOR — Training")
print("=" * 50)
# 1. Load and engineer features
print("\nLoading scan data...")
raw_df = load_data()
print(f" Total records: {len(raw_df)}")
print(f" PASS: {len(raw_df[raw_df['status'] == 'PASS'])}")
print(f" FAIL: {len(raw_df[raw_df['status'] == 'FAIL'])}")
print("Engineering daily features...")
daily_df = engineer_features(raw_df)
print(f" Training days: {len(daily_df)}")
# 2. Train
print("\nTraining Random Forest model...")
trained_model, feat_cols, metrics = train_model(daily_df)
# 3. Save
model_package = {
'model': trained_model,
'feature_cols': feat_cols,
'metrics': metrics,
}
with open(MODEL_PATH, 'wb') as f:
pickle.dump(model_package, f)
print(f"\nModel saved to: {MODEL_PATH}")
# 4. Demo prediction
print(f"\n{'=' * 50}")
print(" DEMO PREDICTION")
print(f"{'=' * 50}")
demo_distribution = {
'Center': 0.15, 'Edge-Ring': 0.37, 'Edge-Loc': 0.06,
'Donut': 0.23, 'Random': 0.03, 'Scratch': 0.03,
'Loc': 0.10, 'Near-full': 0.01
}
pred = predict_material_needs(trained_model, feat_cols,
total_scans=1300, fail_rate=0.97,
defect_distribution=demo_distribution)
print(f" Scenario: 1,300 wafers/day, 97% defect rate")
print(f" Predicted avg waste per wafer: {pred['avg_waste_per_wafer']:.2f}%")
print(f" Predicted total daily waste: {pred['total_daily_waste']:.1f} equivalent wafers")
print(f"{'=' * 50}")
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