Papers
arxiv:2603.19987

Breaking the Capability Ceiling of LLM Post-Training by Reintroducing Markov States

Published on Mar 20
· Submitted by
Tengyang Xie
on Mar 23
Authors:
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Abstract

Reinforcement learning for large language models suffers from a capability ceiling due to reliance on expanding action histories rather than compact Markov states, which can be overcome by explicitly incorporating structured state representations to enable genuine reasoning capabilities.

AI-generated summary

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a standard paradigm for post-training and aligning Large Language Models (LLMs), yet recent evidence suggests it faces a persistent "capability ceiling": unlike classical RL systems that discover novel strategies, RL for LLMs often acts as a mere refiner of patterns already latent in pre-trained weights. In this work, we identify a fundamental structural bottleneck: while classical RL relies on compact, informative Markov states, current LLM post-training formulations are tethered to an ever-expanding history of actions. We revisit a classical principle long central to RL yet absent from LLM post-training: explicit Markov states. Theoretically, we provide rigorous guarantees demonstrating that leveraging estimated Markov states can significantly reduce sample complexity. Empirically, we show that introducing Markov states consistently breaks the performance boundaries of standard RL post-training across a suite of complex logic puzzles. Our findings suggest that moving beyond "history-as-state" modeling in favor of structured Markovian representations is essential for unlocking open-ended discovery and genuinely new reasoning capabilities in Generative AI.

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Paper submitter

We found that RL post-training for LLMs hits a persistent capability ceiling because models condition on ever-growing action histories instead of compact Markov states — we proposed reintroducing explicit Markov state estimation into the training loop, where a learned transition model compresses the history into a sufficient statistic at each step. This simple mechanism has theoretical guarantees (exponential reduction in sample complexity from action-history space to compact state space) and also performs well empirically, beating standard action-sequence RL by massive margins on Sokoban (2.5% → 76.1%), Futoshiki (0.2% → 75.0%), and Sudoku (92.3% → 97.1%), with strong out-of-distribution generalization to boot.

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