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#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Choose decision thresholds from validation answers.
Replays a validation set through the engine and picks the thresholds that
meet the experiment's bars, printing a decisions.yaml fragment:
turn.tools.load_at the P(true) that maximizes F-beta (--tool-beta,
0.5: precision first) across loadable tools; a
preloaded tool stays in the chat's standing set
and costs every later call, while a missed one
costs a single request_tools round trip
turn.guides.omit_below and turn.guides.confidence_floor
the pair that omits the most units while keeping
omission precision at or above --omission-precision
(an omitted unit that was needed is a silent drop)
request.load_at, max_loads, nearest_loads
the unit-rank score, cap, and fallback count
that maximize F-beta (--request-beta) over the
tools each request_tools need was for (the tools
the turn used after it, and those the judge
scored 3 or more), replaying the fallback: a
need nothing reaches load_at loads its nearest
tools
turn.skills.preload_at the lowest top score that preloads the most turns
while the preloaded skill was judged relevant
(skill_scores of 3 or more) at or above
--preload-precision; a wrong preload steers the
whole turn
Each is reported with its support; tools also with the expected calibration
error, and the tool threshold also per host (coordinator turns and worker
legs), so a host that would want a different threshold shows up. Rows are
training rows (rows.py) and every question is the one the row's turn offered.
Usage: calibrate.py --corpus C --examples FILE [--engine PATH]
[--tool-beta 0.5] [--request-beta 1.0] [--omission-precision 0.97]
[--preload-precision 0.9] [--tool-truth RULE]
"""
import argparse
import collections
import os
import sys
sys.path.insert(0, os.path.dirname(__file__))
import rows as rowfile # noqa: E402
from corpus import Corpus # noqa: E402
from replay_eval import Engine, ece, option_answer # noqa: E402
def fbeta(tp, fp, fn, beta):
if tp == 0:
return 0.0
p = tp / (tp + fp)
r = tp / (tp + fn)
b2 = beta * beta
return (1 + b2) * p * r / (b2 * p + r)
def main():
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
ap.add_argument("--corpus", required=True)
ap.add_argument("--examples", required=True)
ap.add_argument("--engine", default=os.environ.get("LYCAON_DECIDE_ENGINE"), help="a pw-decide launcher: `pw-decide serve --model ... --head turn-load=...` (default $LYCAON_DECIDE_ENGINE)")
ap.add_argument("--tool-beta", type=float, default=0.5)
ap.add_argument("--request-beta", type=float, default=1.0)
ap.add_argument("--tool-truth", choices=rowfile.TOOL_TRUTH, default="consensus", help="how a turn's tool labels are read (rows.py)")
ap.add_argument("--omission-precision", type=float, default=0.97)
ap.add_argument("--preload-precision", type=float, default=0.9)
args = ap.parse_args()
if not args.engine:
ap.error("--engine (or LYCAON_DECIDE_ENGINE) must name a pw-decide launcher")
corpus = Corpus.load(args.corpus)
examples = rowfile.load(args.examples)
tool_pairs = []
guide_pairs = []
skill_tops = []
request_pairs = []
tool_cards = corpus.tool_cards()
cards = corpus.skill_cards()
roster = sorted(cards)
engine = Engine(args.engine)
try:
for ex in examples:
loadable = [t for t in ex["offered"]["loadable"] if t in tool_cards]
for n, request in enumerate(ex["labels"].get("requests") or []):
exact = set(request.get("exact") or [])
rest = [t for t in loadable if t not in exact]
wanted = set(request.get("after") or []) | rowfile.relevant(rowfile.need_pairs(ex, n))
if not rest or not wanted & set(rest):
continue
scores = engine.call({"method": "rank", "head": "unit-rank", "task": request["need"], "candidates": [tool_cards[t] for t in rest]})["scores"]
request_pairs.append([(scores[i], rest[i] in wanted) for i in range(len(rest))])
if ex["partial"]:
continue
qs = corpus.row_questions(ex)
answers = engine.call({"method": "decide", "head": "turn-load", "state": ex["state"], "questions": qs})["answers"]
targets = rowfile.tool_targets(ex, args.tool_truth)
for name in qs.get("tools", {}).get("options", {}):
if targets.get(name, 0) is None:
continue
p, _ = option_answer(answers, "tools", name)
tool_pairs.append((0.0 if p is None else p, targets.get(name, 0) == 1, ex["host"]))
guides = ex["labels"]["guides"]
for uid in qs.get("guides", {}).get("options", {}):
needed = guides.get(uid)
if needed is None:
continue
p, conf = option_answer(answers, "guides", uid)
guide_pairs.append((0.0 if p is None else p, 0.0 if conf is None else conf, bool(needed)))
judged = rowfile.skill_pairs(ex)
if roster and judged:
scores = engine.call({"method": "rank", "head": "unit-rank", "task": ex["state"]["user"], "candidates": [cards[name] for name in roster]})["scores"]
best = max(range(len(scores)), key=lambda i: scores[i])
skill_tops.append((scores[best], roster[best] in rowfile.relevant(judged)))
finally:
engine.close()
def best_load_at(pairs):
best = (0.0, 0.5)
for step in range(5, 96):
thr = step / 100
tp = sum(1 for p, y, _ in pairs if p >= thr and y)
fp = sum(1 for p, y, _ in pairs if p >= thr and not y)
fn = sum(1 for p, y, _ in pairs if p < thr and y)
score = fbeta(tp, fp, fn, args.tool_beta)
if score > best[0]:
best = (score, thr)
return best
best = best_load_at(tool_pairs)
print("turn:\n tools:\n load_at: %.2f # F%g=%.3f support=%d ece=%.3f" % (
best[1], args.tool_beta, best[0], sum(1 for _, y, _ in tool_pairs if y), ece([(p, 1 if y else 0) for p, y, _ in tool_pairs])))
for host in sorted({h for _, _, h in tool_pairs}):
pairs = [pair for pair in tool_pairs if pair[2] == host]
score, thr = best_load_at(pairs)
print(" # %s alone: load_at %.2f, F%g=%.3f, support=%d" % (host, thr, args.tool_beta, score, sum(1 for _, y, _ in pairs if y)))
chosen = None
for omit in range(5, 51):
for floor in range(50, 100, 5):
o, f = omit / 100, floor / 100
omitted = [(needed) for p, c, needed in guide_pairs if p < o and c >= f]
if not omitted:
continue
precision = sum(1 for needed in omitted if not needed) / len(omitted)
if precision >= args.omission_precision and (chosen is None or len(omitted) > chosen[0]):
chosen = (len(omitted), o, f, precision)
if chosen is None:
print(" guides:\n # no threshold pair reaches omission precision %.2f on %d judged units; keep every unit until the head improves" % (args.omission_precision, len(guide_pairs)))
else:
print(" guides:\n omit_below: %.2f\n confidence_floor: %.2f # omits %d of %d judged units at precision %.3f" % (
chosen[1], chosen[2], chosen[0], len(guide_pairs), chosen[3]))
counts = collections.Counter(needed for _, _, needed in guide_pairs)
print("# judged units: needed=%d unneeded=%d" % (counts[True], counts[False]))
ranked = [sorted(pairs, key=lambda x: -x[0]) for pairs in request_pairs]
best = None
for max_loads in range(1, 7):
for nearest in range(1, max_loads + 1):
for step in range(50, 501, 5):
thr = step / 100
tp = fp = fn = served = 0
for pairs in ranked:
loaded = [(sc, y) for sc, y in pairs[:max_loads] if sc >= thr] or pairs[:nearest]
hits = sum(1 for _, y in loaded if y)
tp, fp, fn = tp + hits, fp + len(loaded) - hits, fn + sum(1 for _, y in pairs if y) - hits
served += hits > 0
score = fbeta(tp, fp, fn, args.request_beta)
if best is None or score > best[0]:
best = (score, thr, max_loads, nearest, tp, fp, fn, served)
if not request_pairs:
print("request:\n # no request_tools needs in the examples; thresholds unchanged")
else:
score, thr, max_loads, nearest, tp, fp, fn, served = best
print("request:\n load_at: %.2f\n max_loads: %d\n nearest_loads: %d # F%g=%.3f over %d needs: %.1f loads per need at precision %.3f, recall %.3f; %.3f of needs get a tool they used" % (
thr, max_loads, nearest, args.request_beta, score, len(ranked), (tp + fp) / len(ranked), tp / (tp + fp), tp / (tp + fn), served / len(ranked)))
chosen = None
for step in range(100, 401):
thr = step / 100
preloads = [ok for top, ok in skill_tops if top >= thr]
if not preloads:
continue
precision = sum(preloads) / len(preloads)
if precision >= args.preload_precision and (chosen is None or len(preloads) > chosen[0]):
chosen = (len(preloads), thr, precision)
if not skill_tops:
print(" skills:\n # no judged skill_scores in the examples; preload_at unchanged")
elif chosen is None:
print(" skills:\n # no top score reaches preload precision %.2f over %d judged turns; keep preload_at above every top score until the head improves" % (args.preload_precision, len(skill_tops)))
else:
print(" skills:\n preload_at: %.2f # preloads %d of %d judged turns at precision %.3f" % (chosen[1], chosen[0], len(skill_tops), chosen[2]))
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()