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- ---
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- language:
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- - en
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- pretty_name: "ClimX: extreme-aware climate model emulation"
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- tags:
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- - climate
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- - earth-system-model
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- - machine-learning
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- - emulation
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- - extremes
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- - netcdf
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- license: mit
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- task_categories:
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- - time-series-forecasting
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- - other
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- ---
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-
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- <!-- NOTE: Math formatting convention: inline math uses \\( ... \\) and math blocks use $$ ... $$. -->
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-
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- # ClimX: a challenge for extreme-aware climate model emulation
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-
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- ClimX is a challenge about building **fast and accurate machine learning emulators** for the NorESM2-MM Earth System Model, with evaluation focused on **climate extremes** rather than mean climate alone.
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-
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- ## Dataset summary
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-
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- This dataset contains the **full-resolution** ClimX data in **NetCDF-4** format (targets + forcings, depending on split) with a native grid of \\(192 \times 288\\) (about \\(1^\circ\\)) resolution. It also contains the **lite-resolution** version, with a native grid of \\(12 \times 18\\) (about \\(16^\circ\\)) resolution:
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-
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- - **Lite-resolution**: <1GB, \\(16\times\\) spatially coarsened, meant for rapid prototyping.
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- - **Full-resolution**: ~200GB, full-resolution data for large-scale training.
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-
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- ## What you will do (high level)
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-
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- You train an emulator that predicts **daily** 2D fields for 7 surface variables:
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-
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- - `tas`, `tasmax`, `tasmin`
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- - `pr`, `huss`, `psl`, `sfcWind`
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-
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- However, the **benchmark targets are 15 extreme indices** derived from daily temperature and precipitation (ETCCDI-style indices). The daily fields are an **intermediate output** your emulator produces (useful for diagnostics and for computing the indices).
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-
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- Conceptually:
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-
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- $$
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- x_t = g(f_t, f_{t-1}, \dots, f_{t-\alpha}, x_{t-1}, x_{t-2}, \dots, x_{t-\beta})
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- $$
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-
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- where \\(f_t\\) are forcings (greenhouse gases + aerosols) and \\(x_t\\) is the climate state.
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-
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- ## Dataset structure
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-
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- ### Spatial and temporal shape
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-
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- Full-resolution daily fields:
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-
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- - **Historical**: `lat: 192, lon: 288, time: 60224`
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- - **Projections**: `lat: 192, lon: 288, time: 31389`
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-
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- ### Splits and scenarios (official challenge setup)
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-
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- Training uses historical + several SSP scenarios; testing is on the held-out **SSP2-4.5** scenario:
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-
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- - **Train**: historical (1850–2014) + `ssp126`, `ssp370`, `ssp585` (2015–2100)
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- - **Test (held-out)**: `ssp245` (2015–2100)
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-
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- To avoid leakage, **targets for `ssp245` are withheld** in the official evaluation; only the **forcings** are provided for that scenario. The full outputs will be released after the competition.
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-
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- ## Evaluation metric
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-
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- The primary leaderboard metric is the region-wise **normalized Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (nNSE)**, averaged over 15 climate extreme indices.
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-
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- For each index \\(v\\), grid cell \\((i,j)\\), a validity mask \\(\mathcal{V}\\) excludes cells with negligible temporal variability. Cell-level \\(R^2\\) and nNSE are:
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-
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- $$
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- R^2_{ij} = 1 - \frac{\mathrm{MSE}_{ij}}{\mathrm{Var}_t(gt_{ij})}, \qquad \mathrm{nNSE}_{ij} = \frac{R^2_{ij}}{2 - R^2_{ij}}
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- $$
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-
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- For each AR6 land region \\(k\\), the area-weighted regional score is:
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-
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- $$
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- \mathrm{nNSE}_{kv} = \frac{\sum_{(i,j)\in k \cap \mathcal{V}} \cos\phi_i \, \mathrm{nNSE}_{ij}}{\sum_{(i,j)\in k \cap \mathcal{V}} \cos\phi_i}
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- $$
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-
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- The final score averages uniformly over valid regions and indices:
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-
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- $$
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- S = \frac{1}{|V|} \sum_{v \in V} \frac{1}{|K_v|} \sum_{k \in K_v} \mathrm{nNSE}_{kv}
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- $$
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-
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- \\(S=1\\) is perfect agreement, \\(S=0\\) corresponds to a mean predictor, and \\(S \to -1\\) is pathological.
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-
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- ## How to load the data
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-
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- This dataset is distributed as **NetCDF-4** files. There are two common ways to load it.
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-
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- ### Option 1 (recommended): clone the ClimX code and use the helper loader
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-
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- The ClimX repository already includes a helper module (`src/data/climx_hf.py`) that allows you to download the dataset from Hugging Face and open it as three lazily-loaded “virtual” xarray datasets:
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-
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- ```bash
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- git clone https://github.com/IPL-UV/ClimX.git
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- cd ClimX
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- pip install -U "huggingface-hub" xarray netcdf4 dask
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- ```
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-
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- ```python
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- from src.data.climx_hf import download_climx_from_hf, open_climx_virtual_datasets
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-
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- # Download NetCDF artifacts from HF into a local cache directory.
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- root = download_climx_from_hf("/path/to/hf_cache", variant="full")
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-
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- # Open as three virtual datasets (lazy / dask-friendly).
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- ds = open_climx_virtual_datasets(root, variant="full") # or "lite"
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-
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- ds.hist # historical (targets + forcings)
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- ds.train # projections training scenarios (targets + forcings; excludes `ssp245` scenario)
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- ds.test_forcings # `ssp245` scenario forcings only (no targets)
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- ```
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-
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- ### Option 2: download NetCDFs and open with xarray directly
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- You can also download files from Hugging Face and open them with **xarray**.
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- Example:
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-
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- ```python
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- from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download
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- import xarray as xr
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-
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- path = hf_hub_download(
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- repo_id="isp-uv-es/ClimX",
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- repo_type="dataset",
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- filename="PATH/TO/A/FILE.nc", # replace with an actual file in this dataset repo
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- )
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- ds = xr.open_dataset(path)
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- print(ds)
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- ```
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-
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- ## Links
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-
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- - [Kaggle competition](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/climx)
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- - [Full dataset (this page)](https://huggingface.co/datasets/isp-uv-es/ClimX)
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- - [Public code repository (challenge materials)](https://github.com/IPL-UV/ClimX)
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- - [Website](https://ipl-uv.github.io/ClimX/)
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-
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- ## License and usage
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-
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- The dataset is released under **MIT**. In addition, if you are participating in the ClimX competition, please follow the competition rules (notably: restrictions on external climate training data and redistribution of competition data).