build: macro cycle us.json
Browse files- macro/cycle/us.json +49 -0
macro/cycle/us.json
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{
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"market": "US",
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"phase": "slowdown",
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"phaseLabel": "둔화",
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"confidence": "medium",
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"signals": [
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"HY 스프레드 안정 (280bp)",
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"수익률곡선 평탄화 (+0.40%)",
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"금 급등 (YoY +39.5%)",
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"CPI 4.3% — 물가 과열, 둔화 전조"
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],
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"sectorStrategy": {
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"defensive": "overweight",
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"moderate": "neutral",
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"high": "underweight",
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"low": "neutral"
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},
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"transition": {
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"from": "slowdown",
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"to": "contraction",
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"progress": 33,
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"triggered": [
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"gold_surging"
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],
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"pending": [
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"vix_spiking",
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"term_spread_inverted"
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]
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},
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"quadrant": {
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"quadrant": "reflation",
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"quadrantLabel": "리플레이션",
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"growth": "rising",
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"growthSignal": 662678.0,
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"inflation": "rising",
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"inflationSignal": 26.71,
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"assetImplication": {
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"equity": "overweight",
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"bond": "underweight",
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"commodity": "overweight",
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"gold": "neutral",
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"tips": "overweight",
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"cash": "underweight"
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},
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"confidence": "high",
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"description": "성장 가속 + 물가 상승 — 원자재·EM 주식·TIPS 유리, 명목채 불리"
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},
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"computedAt": "2026-06-12T15:39:38.196754+00:00"
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}
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