| { | |
| "market": "US", | |
| "computedAt": "2026-06-30T23:30:18.307123+00:00", | |
| "forecast": { | |
| "models": { | |
| "probit": { | |
| "probability": 0.1856, | |
| "probabilityRounded": 0.2, | |
| "zone": "moderate", | |
| "zoneLabel": "보통", | |
| "spread": 0.57, | |
| "horizon": "12M", | |
| "timeKind": "leading", | |
| "precisionNote": "Estrella-Mishkin 고정계수·표준오차 미산출(점추정)", | |
| "asOf": "2026-06-30", | |
| "seriesId": "T10Y3M", | |
| "staleAfterDays": 7 | |
| }, | |
| "sahm": { | |
| "value": 0.1, | |
| "triggered": false, | |
| "zone": "normal", | |
| "zoneLabel": "정상", | |
| "horizon": "realtime", | |
| "timeKind": "trigger(동행)", | |
| "asOf": "2026-05-01", | |
| "seriesId": "UNRATE", | |
| "staleAfterDays": 45 | |
| }, | |
| "lei": { | |
| "level": 6282235.69, | |
| "mom6m": null, | |
| "signal": "expansion", | |
| "signalLabel": "확장", | |
| "availableComponents": 10, | |
| "totalComponents": 10, | |
| "overlapNote": "term-spread·initial-claims 내포(probit/Sahm 부분 상관)", | |
| "horizon": "6-9M", | |
| "timeKind": "leading", | |
| "asOf": "2026-05-01", | |
| "staleAfterDays": 75 | |
| }, | |
| "hamilton": { | |
| "timeKind": "retrospective", | |
| "horizon": "동행", | |
| "staleAfterDays": 120, | |
| "revisionLabel": "분기 GDP·수정 대상", | |
| "asOf": "2026-01-01", | |
| "seriesId": "A191RL1Q225SBEA", | |
| "seriesSource": "FRED", | |
| "separation": 0.085, | |
| "contractionProb": null, | |
| "converged": true, | |
| "status": "레짐 분리 약함" | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "missing": [] | |
| }, | |
| "rates": { | |
| "spread10y3m": 0.57, | |
| "sign": "+", | |
| "curveShape": "steep_normal", | |
| "curveShapeLabel": "가파른정상", | |
| "curveSource": "NelsonSiegel.interpretation", | |
| "asOf": "2026-06-30", | |
| "seriesId": "T10Y3M", | |
| "staleAfterDays": 7, | |
| "missing": [] | |
| }, | |
| "gar": { | |
| "status": "표본 부족·표시 보류" | |
| }, | |
| "regimeBand": { | |
| "status": "레짐 분리 약함", | |
| "converged": true, | |
| "separation": 0.085 | |
| } | |
| } |