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Publish CC-BY-4.0 License and Use section per Terms §13

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  ---
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- license: mit
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- task_categories:
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- - question-answering
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  language:
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- - en
 
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  tags:
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- - benchmark
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- - evaluation
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- - world-awareness
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- - prediction-markets
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- - ai-agents
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- - calibrated-probabilities
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- - real-time-data
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- - geopolitics
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- - economics
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- size_categories:
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- - n<1K
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- pretty_name: World Awareness Benchmark
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  ---
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- # World Awareness Benchmark
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- Does your AI agent know what's happening in the world *right now*?
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- This benchmark tests whether agents can accurately answer factual questions about current events — recession probability, geopolitical risk, oil prices, election odds. Ground truth comes from prediction markets, where participants risk real money on outcomes.
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- ## Why This Benchmark Exists
 
 
 
 
 
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- LLMs have a knowledge cutoff. When asked "what's the probability of a US recession?", they either:
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- - Hallucinate a number
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- - Hedge with "I don't have access to real-time data"
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- - Give a stale figure from training data
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- There was no standard way to measure this gap. Now there is.
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- ## Format
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- ```json
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- {
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- "id": "geo-001",
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- "question": "What is the SF Geopolitical Risk Index score (0-100)?",
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- "category": "Geopolitical",
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- "ground_truth": 62,
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- "unit": "score_0_100",
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- "source": "SF Index",
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- "tolerance": 5,
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- "date": "2026-04-02"
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- }
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- ```
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- ## Categories
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- | Category | Questions | What it tests |
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- |----------|-----------|---------------|
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- | Geopolitical | 10 | War probabilities, nuclear risk, regional conflicts |
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- | Economy | 10 | Recession, Fed rates, market indices, treasury yields |
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- | Energy | 7 | Oil prices, energy contracts, supply disruption |
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- | Elections | 5 | Presidential, senate, political outcomes |
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- | Markets | 12 | Crypto, tech, gold, mispriced edges |
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-
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- ## Scoring
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-
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- | Result | Points |
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- |--------|--------|
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- | Exact match (within tolerance) | 2 |
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- | Correct direction/range | 1 |
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- | Wrong, hallucinated, or refused | 0 |
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-
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- **Max score**: questions × 2
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-
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- ## How to Use
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-
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- ```python
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- import json
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- import requests
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-
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- # Load benchmark
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- bench = json.load(open("benchmark_2026-04-02.json"))
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-
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- # Test your agent
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- score = 0
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- for q in bench["questions"]:
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- answer = your_agent(q["question"]) # your agent's response
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- # Parse numeric answer and compare to ground_truth with tolerance
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- # ...
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-
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- print(f"World Awareness Score: {score}/{bench['scoring']['max_score']}")
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- ```
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-
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- ### With SimpleFunctions (baseline)
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-
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- An agent using SimpleFunctions world state should score near-perfect:
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-
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- ```python
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- from simplefunctions import world
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-
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- state = world()
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- # Inject into system prompt, then answer questions
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- # Expected score: 80-90% of max
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- ```
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-
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- ### Without any world context (baseline)
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-
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- A vanilla LLM with no real-time data:
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- ```python
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- # Expected score: 0-10% of max (hallucinations occasionally correct by chance)
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- ```
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-
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- ## Monthly Updates
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-
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- This benchmark is regenerated monthly from live prediction market data. Each file is dated (`benchmark_YYYY-MM-DD.json`). Ground truth changes as the world changes — that's the point.
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-
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- ## Data Source
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-
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- [SimpleFunctions](https://simplefunctions.dev/world) — 9,706 prediction market contracts from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) and Polymarket. Calibrated by real money.
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-
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- ## Citation
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-
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- ```bibtex
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- @dataset{simplefunctions_world_awareness_2026,
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- title={World Awareness Benchmark: Testing AI Agent Knowledge of Current Events},
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- author={SimpleFunctions},
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- year={2026},
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- url={https://huggingface.co/datasets/SimpleFunctions/world-awareness-bench},
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- note={Ground truth from 9,706 prediction markets. Updated monthly.}
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- }
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- ```
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-
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- ## License
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-
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- MIT
 
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  ---
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+ license: cc-by-4.0
 
 
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  language:
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+ - en
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+ pretty_name: World Awareness Bench
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  tags:
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+ - benchmark
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+ - evaluation
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+ - prediction-markets
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+ - world-knowledge
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+ - llm-eval
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+ source_datasets:
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+ - original
 
 
 
 
 
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  ---
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+ # World Awareness Bench
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+ Monthly AI-agent benchmark measuring whether language models correctly reflect the current state of the world as priced by prediction markets. 100 questions/month covering politics, geopolitics, macro, and events. Graded against market-consensus ground truth.
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+ ## License and Use
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+ This dataset is released under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
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+ (CC-BY-4.0; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). You may use it
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+ freely for personal, research, educational, and commercial purposes — including
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+ training, evaluating, and fine-tuning machine-learning models. Attribution is
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+ required when the dataset is redistributed in substantially its original form
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+ or cited in published work; credit as "SimpleFunctions (simplefunctions.dev)".
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+ Additional terms apply: you may not re-host this dataset, in whole or in
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+ substantial part, as an API or service that functionally substitutes for a
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+ SimpleFunctions endpoint. See Terms §13.2 at https://simplefunctions.dev/terms.
 
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+ Provenance, update cadence, and schema are documented below.
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+ ## Update cadence
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+ Monthly, 1st of month.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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+ ## Provenance
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+ Source: https://simplefunctions.dev
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+ Generator: SimpleFunctions public data pipeline
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+ Contact: patrick@simplefunctions.dev