Video-to-Video
weather
precipitation
nowcasting
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  license: cc-by-nc-sa-4.0
 
 
 
 
 
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  license: cc-by-nc-sa-4.0
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+ pipeline_tag: video-to-video
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+ tags:
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+ - weather
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+ - precipitation
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+ - nowcasting
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  ---
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+ # Probabilistic Precipitation Nowcasting with Rectified Flow Transformers
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+ **TODO: badges**
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+ We propose FREUD, a FRame-wise Encoder, United Decoder rectified flow-based first stage for precipitation nowcasting.
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+ Weather forecasting requires probabilistic prediction. Our generative decoder allows **uncertainty-aware compression**.
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+ Our FREUD design enables variable-length inputs, robustness to frame drops, and preserves temporal consistency.
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+ We enable **simple training** - no loss weight tuning, only a simple, stable rectified flow objective.
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+ A rectified-flow model in FREUD latent space achieves **state-of-the-art distributional and perceptual forecasting** quality.
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+ ![Reconstruction distributions for different precipitation levels](https://compvis.github.io/weather-rf/static/images/teaser_figure_weather.svg)
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+ *Our generative decoder can quantify uncertainty about compression and covers the true precipitation in heavy-rain scenarios, while deterministic decoding collapses to incorrect modes.*
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