Upload config_sports.json with huggingface_hub

config_sports.json

@@ -0,0 +1,407 @@
+{
+  "topic": "sports",
+  "topic_label": "Sports",
+  "unit": "Elo",
+  "target": "value",
+  "source": "huggingface:davidtadediji/tennis-atp->world#1-elo",
+  "freq_days": 1.0,
+  "lookback": 60,
+  "horizon_steps": 7,
+  "horizon_days": 7,
+  "hidden_size": 64,
+  "num_layers": 2,
+  "dropout": 0.1,
+  "input_size": 7,
+  "features": [
+    "rel",
+    "ret1",
+    "ma7",
+    "ma30",
+    "vol7",
+    "dow_sin",
+    "dow_cos"
+  ],
+  "epochs_used": 8,
+  "val_mae": 0.6376992372960726,
+  "val_rel_mae": 0.0013050113338977098,
+  "val_h1_mape": 0.00028206822553323625,
+  "val_h1_smape": 0.00028171921207947414,
+  "naive_baseline_mae": 0.6336949202377652,
+  "validation": {
+    "steps": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "mae": 0.6376992372960726,
+        "rmse": 3.765404447685039,
+        "smape": 0.00028171921207947414
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "mae": 1.6050064993963533,
+        "rmse": 5.355021564857958,
+        "smape": 0.0007097558949315848
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "mae": 2.080551655786447,
+        "rmse": 6.540109108095745,
+        "smape": 0.0009195137373319877
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "mae": 2.646988895392051,
+        "rmse": 7.53193427356517,
+        "smape": 0.0011696340538495415
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "mae": 3.523908206288901,
+        "rmse": 8.471290266903123,
+        "smape": 0.0015575751768896542
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "mae": 4.542649001973406,
+        "rmse": 9.353379162829077,
+        "smape": 0.0020085143557518463
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "mae": 5.646657029956074,
+        "rmse": 10.227340204113476,
+        "smape": 0.00249728602285362
+      }
+    ],
+    "directional": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "accuracy": 0.5,
+        "coverage": 0.037874160048869884,
+        "n": 62
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "accuracy": 0.48760330578512395,
+        "coverage": 0.07391569945021381,
+        "n": 121
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "accuracy": 0.48044692737430167,
+        "coverage": 0.10934636530238241,
+        "n": 179
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "accuracy": 0.5254237288135594,
+        "coverage": 0.14416615760537568,
+        "n": 236
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "accuracy": 0.4709897610921502,
+        "coverage": 0.17898594990836897,
+        "n": 293
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "accuracy": 0.4685714285714286,
+        "coverage": 0.21380574221136225,
+        "n": 350
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "accuracy": 0.4668304668304668,
+        "coverage": 0.24862553451435554,
+        "n": 407
+      }
+    ],
+    "naive": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "mae": 0.6336949202377652,
+        "rmse": 3.765529876095787,
+        "smape": 0.0002799414478849769
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "mae": 1.267389959002744,
+        "rmse": 5.326863098947854,
+        "smape": 0.0005598829485856726
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "mae": 1.901084960643273,
+        "rmse": 6.526380645620064,
+        "smape": 0.0008398244296251179
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "mae": 2.5347798424657335,
+        "rmse": 7.53889062725824,
+        "smape": 0.0011197658546390913
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "mae": 3.1684748979643613,
+        "rmse": 8.43120032778205,
+        "smape": 0.0013997073572374324
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "mae": 3.8021699350847946,
+        "rmse": 9.238743025900042,
+        "smape": 0.0016796488472704122
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "mae": 4.435864972205228,
+        "rmse": 9.981162579080712,
+        "smape": 0.001959590337303392
+      }
+    ],
+    "sma": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "mae": 2.5347812025453185,
+        "rmse": 6.374324872583275,
+        "smape": 0.0011201587610379694
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "mae": 3.1580307843202746,
+        "rmse": 7.402105373207913,
+        "smape": 0.0013954850233039526
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "mae": 3.768812586873471,
+        "rmse": 8.298716434756287,
+        "smape": 0.00166527579999879
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "mae": 4.367628068206025,
+        "rmse": 9.102766271430648,
+        "smape": 0.0019297619140497095
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "mae": 4.9611914070552166,
+        "rmse": 9.836811431713077,
+        "smape": 0.00219198381505323
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "mae": 5.548379978736242,
+        "rmse": 10.514975624137636,
+        "smape": 0.0024514596011404248
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "mae": 6.130494670956596,
+        "rmse": 11.147205521588548,
+        "smape": 0.0027087484919335355
+      }
+    ],
+    "rel_mae": 0.0013050113338977098,
+    "h1_mape": 0.00028206822553323625,
+    "h1_smape": 0.00028171921207947414,
+    "mae_h1": 0.6376992372960726,
+    "mae_all": 2.954780075155615
+  },
+  "test": {
+    "steps": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "mae": 0.661530610546284,
+        "rmse": 3.9395903055302712,
+        "smape": 0.00030328254570988786
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "mae": 1.6382955901193277,
+        "rmse": 5.584432224907856,
+        "smape": 0.0007507489922956156
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "mae": 2.142258762750456,
+        "rmse": 6.827079007116775,
+        "smape": 0.000981960333341848
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "mae": 2.7255754386705986,
+        "rmse": 7.861729532375495,
+        "smape": 0.0012494563084986664
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "mae": 3.5948806792550094,
+        "rmse": 8.787986312227924,
+        "smape": 0.0016475573231374385
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "mae": 4.595483391749713,
+        "rmse": 9.650553870860204,
+        "smape": 0.002105626923819251
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "mae": 5.664717907668738,
+        "rmse": 10.487051929146421,
+        "smape": 0.0025948501228058173
+      }
+    ],
+    "directional": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "accuracy": 0.45454545454545453,
+        "coverage": 0.040194884287454324,
+        "n": 66
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "accuracy": 0.5384615384615384,
+        "coverage": 0.07917174177831912,
+        "n": 130
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "accuracy": 0.5287958115183246,
+        "coverage": 0.11632155907429964,
+        "n": 191
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "accuracy": 0.47808764940239046,
+        "coverage": 0.15286236297198538,
+        "n": 251
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "accuracy": 0.5161290322580645,
+        "coverage": 0.18879415347137637,
+        "n": 310
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "accuracy": 0.5121951219512195,
+        "coverage": 0.22472594397076737,
+        "n": 369
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "accuracy": 0.5093896713615024,
+        "coverage": 0.25943970767356883,
+        "n": 426
+      }
+    ],
+    "naive": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "mae": 0.6576402501083747,
+        "rmse": 3.9395943379244955,
+        "smape": 0.0003015023181505073
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "mae": 1.3152803510472328,
+        "rmse": 5.572506837396327,
+        "smape": 0.0006030045676926544
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "mae": 1.9714945071269188,
+        "rmse": 6.823794704466661,
+        "smape": 0.0009038693819001022
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "mae": 2.61594825636121,
+        "rmse": 7.861068117313884,
+        "smape": 0.0011992746974001558
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "mae": 3.260402067907422,
+        "rmse": 8.776777893684878,
+        "smape": 0.0014946800411563847
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "mae": 3.904855896029503,
+        "rmse": 9.605654156144235,
+        "smape": 0.0017900853923958448
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "mae": 4.535490158437815,
+        "rmse": 10.370783035001281,
+        "smape": 0.0020790963355167215
+      }
+    ],
+    "sma": [
+      {
+        "step": 1,
+        "mae": 2.591182707261015,
+        "rmse": 6.633476564116128,
+        "smape": 0.0011877562728507883
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 2,
+        "mae": 3.2278916314575627,
+        "rmse": 7.72129451357155,
+        "smape": 0.0014795827993796845
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 3,
+        "mae": 3.8584224904847266,
+        "rmse": 8.688077614626003,
+        "smape": 0.0017685648600671727
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 4,
+        "mae": 4.482979404173677,
+        "rmse": 9.570733495563667,
+        "smape": 0.002054794668912182
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 5,
+        "mae": 5.101102685115012,
+        "rmse": 10.388187910012993,
+        "smape": 0.0023380676381103502
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 6,
+        "mae": 5.712035162762588,
+        "rmse": 11.15473148303659,
+        "smape": 0.002618039399924077
+      },
+      {
+        "step": 7,
+        "mae": 6.31414761714187,
+        "rmse": 11.881354816788331,
+        "smape": 0.0028939470295776724
+      }
+    ],
+    "rel_mae": 0.001376436441205442,
+    "h1_mape": 0.0003032678926224409,
+    "h1_smape": 0.00030328254570988786,
+    "mae_h1": 0.661530610546284,
+    "mae_all": 3.003248911537161
+  },
+  "step_std_rel": [
+    0.0016600968083366752,
+    0.002347559668123722,
+    0.002875142265111208,
+    0.0033199756871908903,
+    0.0037115542218089104,
+    0.004065607208758593,
+    0.004390694200992584
+  ],
+  "last_date": "2024-12-18 00:00:00",
+  "last_value": 2217.7739373895524
+}